PoliticsOpenEnds 2026-11-04

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

4 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

24h volume

$16.3k

Total volume

$66.0k

Liquidity

$1.21M

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 15, 2026, 22:15 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 15, 2026, 22:15 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

11walrus0x6560…e164Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · No$2.3k+$3.52$2.9k

2Dragontree0x2c39…56dcAgreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · No$1.7k+$0.73$1.7k

3Car0x7c3d…5c6bNo Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate · Yes$1.0k−$3.46$1.9k

4could0xa4f0…c480No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · No$857−$0.83$858

5Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · Yes$694−$15$1.3k

6balthazar0x5a21…9318No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate · Yes$355−$0.61$300

7anoin1230x9648…6825No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · Yes$298+$7.15$290

8v2boring0x0ff9…414cAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$276+$0.29$276

9PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3dAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$201+$0.64$584

10title10xbe74…a70eAgreement + Oil < $80; D Senate · No$186−$25$3.1k

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 13, 2026, 06:28 UTC1nvoker10x748a…3c56Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate · NoBUY$1,918.0095.9¢0¢

Oct 12, 2026, 19:29 UTCtitle10xbe74…a70eNo Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate · NoBUY$1,491.6866.1¢0¢

Oct 12, 2026, 18:22 UTCCar0x7c3d…5c6bNo Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate · YesBUY$1,347.5158.4¢—