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Dragontree

0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc0x2c39…56dc

Joined Jul 21, 20243,617 profile views

#17 Mentions
Total PnL
+$161k
Realized PnL
+$168k
Unrealized PnL
−$6.4k
Markets traded
2,749

PnL Performance

+$171k

1D change+$3.5kTotal PnL
7D change+$7.6kTotal PnL
30D change+$16.1kTotal PnL
Biggest win+$46.7kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$286.4426,236 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Dragontree's trading

  • 73 open positionsAnd 7 settled, not yet redeemed
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Recent win rate
—
No closed market yet
Current streak
1 day up
Total PnL, day by day
Best placing
#11
Mentions · This month · Profit & loss
Avg. trade size
$286.44
26,236 trades on Polygon

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

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Top market outcomes

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Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

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Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

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Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No8,312.1977.3¢$6,400.38$6,423.31−$23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No5,962.8066.4¢$4,949.12$3,959.74+$1.0k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes18,483.6334.5¢$3,530.37$6,374.15−$2.8k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No2,942.1493.4¢$2,762.67$2,749.31+$13
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes5,520.2566.3¢$2,649.72$3,659.55−$1.0k
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes80,399.292.8¢$2,251.18$2,231.92+$19
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes3,381.6873.2¢$2,198.09$2,474.27−$276
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2027?history incompleteNo2,222.2870.2¢$1,600.04$1,559.24+$41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?Yes11,110.0010.0¢$1,444.30$1,111.00+$333
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?No5,000.0020.0¢$950.00$1,000.00−$50
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes644.4986.3¢$633.53$556.41+$77
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes134,150.290.2¢$621.79$268.19+$354
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes2,602.5513.4¢$598.59$348.00+$251
Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?No590.4590.7¢$588.68$535.60+$53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No597.5393.3¢$586.18$557.62+$29
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes89,749.200.4¢$538.50$358.96+$180
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?Yes951.4951.6¢$517.21$490.92+$26
Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No529.2680.0¢$476.33$423.41+$53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No555.0064.2¢$449.74$356.31+$93
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes5,555.0016.0¢$444.40$888.80−$444
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic562.2289.1¢$444.15$501.21−$57
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Yes419.614.6¢$413.88$19.34+$395
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No450.0076.0¢$378.00$342.00+$36
Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by November 30, 2026?history incompleteNo361.2593.4¢$344.27$337.41+$6.86
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes55,784.910.2¢$334.71$111.52+$223
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes52,501.350.8¢$308.13$424.99−$117
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No906.8281.0¢$299.25$734.52−$435
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?history incompleteNo4,628.147.7¢$275.86$355.93−$80
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes258,765.440.2¢$258.77$517.31−$259
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes289.6382.4¢$229.38$238.55−$9.16

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL
OverallThis monthVolume#7662,176,595.38+$12.7k
OverallThis weekVolume#3081,082,745.76+$724
CultureThis weekVolume#46614,087.23−$89
EconomicsAll timeVolume#7371,706,419.07+$4.1k
FinanceAll timeProfit & loss#4731,251,468.65+$12.1k
FinanceAll timeVolume#2911,251,468.65+$12.1k
FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#135587,663.99+$7.4k
FinanceThis monthVolume#39587,663.99+$7.4k
FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#109435,427.27+$6.2k
FinanceThis weekVolume#23435,427.27+$6.2k
FinanceTodayProfit & loss#4090.00+$60
FinanceTodayVolume#1098,412.30+$70
MentionsAll timeProfit & loss#171,012,093.81+$85.5k
MentionsAll timeVolume#851,012,093.81+$85.5k
MentionsThis monthProfit & loss#1111,388.17+$2.4k
MentionsThis monthVolume#6611,388.17+$2.4k
PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#45911,680,272.38+$117k
PoliticsAll timeVolume#46911,680,272.38+$117k
PoliticsThis monthVolume#1611,532,155.05−$458
PoliticsThis weekVolume#33627,897.30−$4.9k
PoliticsTodayVolume#4565,997.00−$2.7k
TechAll timeProfit & loss#702501,964.13+$2.8k
TechAll timeVolume#333501,964.13+$2.8k
TechThis monthVolume#8755,256.80−$480
TechThis weekVolume#4304,015.08−$532
TechTodayProfit & loss#3060.00+$16
TechTodayVolume#814,015.08+$43