PoliticsOpenEnds 2028-01-01

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

1 outcome we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

24h volume

$4.4k

Total volume

$3.54M

Liquidity

$209k

Outcomes

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 23, 2026, 23:10 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 23, 2026, 23:10 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

3NeH0x11fc…dc48No$120k+$2.9k$69.3k

40xa15e…048aNo$50.0k$0—

7Nadmi0xe154…0b7fNo$18.2k+$12.2k—

8comon1190xc3c3…eec8Yes$17.8k−$11.4k—

100x6794…ec48No$16.5k+$2.7k—

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 20, 2026, 08:50 UTC0x213d…11beNoBUY$4,040.4091.0¢−1¢

Oct 20, 2026, 03:21 UTClion4490x6d8c…99f6NoSELL$6,322.7990.0¢+1¢

Oct 18, 2026, 07:54 UTCwhatuppp0xa7ce…df06NoSELL$9,069.5690.0¢+1¢