FedOpenEnds 2026-12-31

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

6 outcomes we publish for this Fed event on Polymarket, 1 of them already settled. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes(1 settled)

24h volume

$14.2k

Total volume

$1.20M

Liquidity

$264k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 23, 2026, 21:03 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 23, 2026, 21:03 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1TheReturnOfDarthMaul0x3a8a…76991 (25 bps) · No$39.0k−$2.8k$34.4k

2simpleman0xbe89…b88c2 (50 bps) · Yes$20.1k+$4.7k$26.9k

3forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f1 (25 bps) · No$7.8k−$1.1k$5.3k

4chunqiu0x3b91…e5722 (50 bps) · Yes$7.0k+$70$6.9k

5yoyobb20180x832b…5c913 (75 bps) · No$5.8k−$1.7k$6.0k

6AlexiosV0xf6ea…0a002 (50 bps) · Yes$5.7k+$3.7k$8.2k

7Roflan-ludoman0xfcf2…a4691 (25 bps) · Yes$5.2k+$945$6.6k

8notssf30x5a7b…e9eb2 (50 bps) · Yes$5.2k+$1.1k—

9XRPisSH8T0xd0f1…67123 (75 bps) · No$4.8k+$785$596

100x5b91…27092 (50 bps) · Yes$4.7k+$149$1.5k

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 23, 2026, 15:39 UTCAlexiosV0xf6ea…0a003 (75 bps) · NoSELL$2,918.3091.3¢+1¢

Oct 22, 2026, 15:59 UTCchunqiu0x3b91…e5722 (50 bps) · YesBUY$3,527.9870.6¢−1¢

Oct 20, 2026, 21:11 UTCpodairpod0x2ed8…93d43 (75 bps) · NoBUY$1,328.2691.3¢0¢