simpleman

0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c0xbe89…b88c

Joined Jan 12, 20251,404 profile views

Total PnL: +$94.0k
Realized PnL: +$79.8k
Unrealized PnL: +$14.2k
Markets traded: 1,492

PnL Performance

+$93.7k

1D change+$5.0kTotal PnL

7D change−$575Total PnL

30D change+$8.9kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$22.4kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$707.137,752 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about simpleman's trading

61 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 1 day up
Best placing: #6
Avg. trade size: $707.13

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes63,808.7142.4¢$35,094.79$27,042.97+$8.1k

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes32,978.2688.5¢$28,031.52$29,190.78−$1.2k

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes17,546.1785.9¢$16,317.94$15,070.60+$1.2k

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes16,494.4988.0¢$15,917.18$14,512.24+$1.4k

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes39,967.2623.2¢$7,993.45$9,282.10−$1.3k

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes13,594.1137.3¢$7,884.58$5,070.24+$2.8k

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes7,903.0289.6¢$7,721.25$7,081.67+$640

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No7,211.4185.3¢$7,031.12$6,152.28+$879

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?No6,523.4390.9¢$5,610.15$5,927.49−$317

US military draft authorized in 2026?No5,630.8289.9¢$5,394.33$5,063.70+$331

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No5,434.7892.0¢$5,108.70$5,000.00+$109

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No5,276.2069.8¢$4,511.15$3,681.08+$830

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No4,627.2090.6¢$4,432.86$4,192.21+$241

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No3,968.8279.9¢$3,413.18$3,170.95+$242

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No3,588.4981.3¢$3,409.06$2,917.22+$492

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No1,610.0095.0¢$1,529.50$1,529.50$0

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?No1,679.1789.3¢$1,455.79$1,500.01−$44

Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,347.2188.6¢$1,248.87$1,193.72+$55

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,020.5289.8¢$981.62$916.09+$66

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?No976.8583.7¢$898.70$817.36+$81

Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?No880.0089.0¢$876.48$783.20+$93

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?No903.9291.3¢$866.86$825.00+$42

Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?No800.0089.0¢$776.00$712.00+$64

Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?No1,393.3750.2¢$766.35$700.00+$66

Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?Yes794.6391.0¢$764.44$723.11+$41

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?No555.5690.0¢$500.00$500.00$0.00

Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No500.0086.0¢$453.82$430.00+$24

Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?No444.4490.0¢$416.09$400.00+$16

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?No248.7586.0¢$235.82$213.92+$22

Trump out as President before 2027?No220.6085.0¢$211.77$187.51+$24

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallThis monthProfit & loss#949815,465.60+$14.3k

OverallTodayProfit & loss#5700.00+$426

CultureTodayProfit & loss#6700.00+$2.87

EconomicsAll timeProfit & loss#1034,286,683.96+$71.7k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#2854,286,683.96+$71.7k

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#108753,522.14+$10.7k

EconomicsThis monthVolume#80753,522.14+$10.7k

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#24244,826.49+$3.4k

EconomicsThis weekVolume#16244,826.49+$3.4k

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#70.00+$423

EconomicsTodayVolume#6116,985.55+$6.6k

MentionsAll timeProfit & loss#105164,023.78+$19.0k

MentionsAll timeVolume#641164,023.78+$19.0k