simpleman
0xbe89905ca9a689f5129621b62fcf715b5a45b88c0xbe89…b88c
- Total PnL
- +$96.7k
- Realized PnL
- +$77.4k
- Unrealized PnL
- +$19.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,516
+$101k
1D change−$2.8kTotal PnL
7D change+$14.9kTotal PnL
30D change+$18.3kTotal PnL
Biggest win+$22.4kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$721.249,169 trades on Polygon
- 60 open positionsAnd 5 settled, not yet redeemed
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- 1 day down Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #21 Economics · This week · Volume
- Avg. trade size
- $721.24 9,169 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes159,526.8779.9¢$137,193.11$127,540.08▲+$9.7k
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes8,607.8469.9¢$8,194.66$6,020.65▲+$2.2k
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?No5,276.2069.8¢$5,012.39$3,681.08▲+$1.3k
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes5,087.0150.2¢$2,950.46$2,556.17▲+$394
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?No1,010.4188.6¢$995.03$895.29▲+$100
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes1,938.5663.8¢$794.81$1,237.67▼−$443
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?No382.7089.8¢$369.40$343.54▲+$26
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?No1,323.0647.2¢$238.15$623.99▼−$386
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?No248.7586.0¢$230.84$213.92▲+$17
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?No200.0078.0¢$191.88$156.00▲+$36
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?No200.0085.0¢$190.00$170.00▲+$20
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No200.3330.9¢$178.29$61.88▲+$116
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?Yes469.9244.0¢$173.87$206.77▼−$33
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes310.6543.0¢$169.31$133.58▲+$36
Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027?No165.7088.0¢$158.41$145.82▲+$13
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?No244.0047.0¢$120.05$114.68▲+$5.37
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?Yes137.0034.7¢$79.46$47.55▲+$32
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?No49.0583.0¢$47.24$40.71▲+$6.52
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?Yes381.0025.8¢$38.10$98.44▼−$60
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Yes40.0043.0¢$23.20$17.20▲+$6
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes20.0055.0¢$17.96$11.00▲+$6.96
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