PoliticsOpenEnds 2026-10-26

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory

14 outcomes we publish for this Politics event on Polymarket. Each one settles on its own rules.

Outcomes

24h volume

$386k

Total volume

$500k

Liquidity

$276k

Outcome prices

Last 7 days

By 24-hour volume · prices updated Oct 26, 2026, 02:04 UTC

By position value · updated Oct 26, 2026, 02:04 UTC

#TraderBiggest positionPosition valuePnL30d volume

1DrSlips0x2ecb…ecb8Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · No$9.3k+$3.0k$7.5k

2balthazar0x5a21…9318Lula da Silva 2-4% · Yes$9.2k+$7.0k$64.3k

3ultimateunicorn0x58a0…fc21Lula da Silva 2-4% · Yes$8.1k+$2.7k$5.4k

4almost-never0x88b5…205cLula da Silva 2-4% · Yes$6.5k+$292$7.9k

5puravida0x80a4…22ccFlávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · No$5.5k+$1.4k$8.3k

6lava-lava0x629b…995aLula da Silva 2-4% · Yes$4.7k+$2.1k$2.6k

70x66e7…8bcdFlávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · No$4.2k+$4.9k$41.4k

8lissartter0x1cfc…2111Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · No$4.0k+$947$6.7k

90xc8b9…b836Lula da Silva <2% · No$3.4k+$1.0k$2.4k

10Luc19990x4676…e808Lula da Silva 2-4% · Yes$3.2k+$2.4k$789

$1,000 or more, last 7 days

WhenTraderOutcomeSideAmountPrice10m move

Oct 26, 2026, 00:20 UTCalmost-never0x88b5…205cLula da Silva 2-4% · YesBUY$3,778.5499.8¢0¢

Oct 25, 2026, 23:42 UTCbalthazar0x5a21…9318Flávio Bolsonaro <2% · NoBUY$2,095.6799.8¢−1¢

Oct 25, 2026, 23:31 UTCbalthazar0x5a21…9318Lula da Silva 4-6% · NoBUY$1,720.0086.0¢+4¢

Oct 25, 2026, 23:14 UTC0xc8b9…b836Lula da Silva <2% · NoBUY$2,402.2570.0¢+18¢

Oct 25, 2026, 21:53 UTCalmost-never0x88b5…205cFlávio Bolsonaro 6-8% · NoBUY$1,560.8495.0¢+2¢

Oct 25, 2026, 21:47 UTCfabiomacedo0x372d…a737Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · YesBUY$1,000.0030.8¢−2¢

Oct 25, 2026, 20:44 UTCmelchior12480x3690…e16fFlávio Bolsonaro 4-6% · NoBUY$1,081.6688.7¢—

Oct 25, 2026, 20:44 UTCcaspar12480xa278…3369Flávio Bolsonaro 6-8% · NoBUY$1,159.0095.0¢—

Oct 25, 2026, 15:05 UTC0x2cdd…6d89Flávio Bolsonaro 2-4% · YesBUY$1,000.0035.0¢−6¢

Oct 25, 2026, 13:52 UTCAddarash0xa2ac…7f76Flávio Bolsonaro <2% · YesBUY$1,172.8020.0¢−1¢