conherence
0xfd59791f361f6aed2960d5923eed7028873002310xfd59…0231
- Total PnL
- +$5.1k
- Realized PnL
- +$4.5k
- Unrealized PnL
- +$585
- Markets traded
- 821
No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.
1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$3.4kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$35.2510,060 trades on Polygon
- 248 open positionsAnd 1 settled, not yet redeemed
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- — Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #97 Economics · This week · Profit & loss
- Avg. trade size
- $35.25 10,060 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No7,460.0429.1¢$4,476.02$2,170.70▲+$2.3k
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?No4,298.4692.1¢$4,264.07$3,960.20▲+$304
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes7,460.0167.2¢$3,133.20$5,010.61▼−$1.9k
Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?No1,041.5288.3¢$958.20$919.28▲+$39
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green?No1,041.5384.2¢$942.25$877.23▲+$65
Will the Democratic Party Candidate win the 2026 Montana Senate election?No884.0399.3¢$881.97$877.50▲+$4.47
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more?No640.8185.0¢$640.17$544.90▲+$95
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?No659.4987.5¢$625.19$576.92▲+$48
Will an Independent Candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 0%-3%?No511.7584.5¢$511.24$432.46▲+$79
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?No750.7346.7¢$480.47$350.66▲+$130
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes640.7926.6¢$442.14$170.72▲+$271
Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?Yes571.1853.6¢$365.56$306.28▲+$59
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Yes585.1514.7¢$333.09$85.91▲+$247
Will SB Energy IPO by December 31, 2026?No349.9189.9¢$315.62$314.73▲+$0.89
Will Labour Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No307.6099.5¢$307.29$306.13▲+$1.17
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No307.6168.4¢$305.76$210.31▲+$95
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 5% or more?No283.8198.3¢$283.46$278.88▲+$4.58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No585.1470.5¢$245.76$412.76▼−$167
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes640.7668.6¢$230.67$439.78▼−$209
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes476.0134.7¢$153.27$165.20▼−$12
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes137.8221.5¢$133.27$29.65▲+$104
Will Ann Kao win Hsinchu City and Cheng Chao-fang win Hsinchu County?Yes216.7050.6¢$123.52$109.62▲+$14
Will Twente finish 9th-24th in UECL league phase?No234.0047.7¢$112.32$111.58▲+$0.74
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No127.4586.2¢$108.33$109.91▼−$1.57
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?Yes274.7234.6¢$107.14$94.92▲+$12
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