Rumpelstiltskin
0xfb1b4e2db61efb47bfb1ac92807c76d4f367a11d0xfb1b…a11d
- Total PnL
- +$22.7k
- Realized PnL
- +$23.5k
- Unrealized PnL
- −$808
- Markets traded
- 217
No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.
1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$9.8kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$219.471,513 trades on Polygon
- 29 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- — Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #8 Tech · Today · Profit & loss
- Avg. trade size
- $219.47 1,513 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes4,937.4883.6¢$4,917.73$4,126.23▲+$792
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes7,171.1561.1¢$2,294.77$4,380.31▼−$2.1k
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No2,219.9286.3¢$2,208.82$1,916.40▲+$292
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?No1,744.6895.5¢$1,556.25$1,666.78▼−$111
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No1,000.0092.9¢$982.00$929.00▲+$53
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes1,077.9095.0¢$953.94$1,024.01▼−$70
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?No1,128.9478.4¢$925.73$885.32▲+$40
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No1,122.9268.3¢$864.65$767.04▲+$98
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?history incompleteNo1,012.5079.6¢$840.38$805.75▲+$35
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes2,509.9926.5¢$778.10$665.70▲+$112
SSI public model released by September 30, 2026?No626.9258.2¢$609.91$365.09▲+$245
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?history incompleteNo1,566.2632.0¢$501.20$501.20$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes487.7449.9¢$365.81$243.36▲+$122
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No443.8826.5¢$186.43$117.81▲+$69
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026?No249.0251.0¢$141.94$127.00▲+$15
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes160.7384.5¢$110.90$135.81▼−$25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes403.4521.9¢$102.88$88.36▲+$15
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes256.0037.0¢$94.72$94.72$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?No220.0018.0¢$47.91$39.60▲+$8.31
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes225.2646.0¢$27.03$103.62▼−$77
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?No197.887.0¢$11.87$13.80▼−$1.93
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes337.9445.0¢$6.42$152.03▼−$146
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?No5.9654.0¢$5.24$3.22▲+$2.03
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes173.2255.0¢$2.77$95.27▼−$92
Anthropic acquired before 2027?No2.5360.0¢$2.45$1.52▲+$0.93
LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL