qbug

0xf939d62dde4db0aeb7630ed05ee167ca5120aded0xf939…aded

Joined Feb 15, 202610 profile views

Total PnL: −$150
Realized PnL: −$207
Unrealized PnL: +$56
Markets traded: 54

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$17All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$14.73198 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about qbug's trading

24 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #587
Avg. trade size: $14.73

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No139.9990.9¢$135.51$127.19+$8.32

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No100.0082.0¢$95.76$82.00+$14

Xi Jinping out before 2027?No60.0092.5¢$58.02$55.52+$2.50

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes50.0079.0¢$49.90$39.50+$10

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No50.0082.0¢$48.40$41.00+$7.40

DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No50.0094.0¢$44.80$47.00−$2.20

ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No50.0090.0¢$44.00$45.00−$1

Meituan matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?No50.0093.0¢$42.00$46.50−$4.50

China x Japan military clash before 2027?No40.0086.0¢$38.00$34.40+$3.60

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes50.0041.0¢$33.50$20.50+$13

AI bubble burst in 2026?No30.0174.0¢$27.43$22.21+$5.22

Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?history incompleteYes38.0033.0¢$23.56$12.54+$11

Trump out as President before 2027?No19.9994.0¢$19.19$18.79+$0.40

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?history incompleteYes50.0031.0¢$16.00$15.50+$0.50

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 16, 2026?history incompleteYes20.0082.0¢$15.53$16.40−$0.87

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No20.0071.0¢$14.60$14.20+$0.40

Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes40.0010.0¢$14.17$4.00+$10

Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes50.0031.0¢$10.00$15.50−$5.50

US x China Military clash before 2027?No5.2988.7¢$5.14$4.69+$0.45

Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?history incompleteYes60.0040.0¢$2.94$24.00−$21

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes879.740.1¢$0.88$0.88$0.00

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?history incompleteYes15.0012.0¢$0.45$1.80−$1.35

Mistral matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?history incompleteYes70.001.6¢$0.28$1.12−$0.84

Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?Yes0.003.1¢$0.00$0.00$0.00

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

FinanceTodayProfit & loss#9280.00+$3.30

TechThis weekProfit & loss#810133.00+$19

TechTodayProfit & loss#5870.00+$2.53

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