claudemole
0xf4561d7dc518c1a50655e84c4e634f9b713bd5680xf456…d568
- Total PnL
- −$748
- Realized PnL
- −$157
- Unrealized PnL
- −$591
- Markets traded
- 1,178
No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.
1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$325All time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$15.841,495 trades on Polygon
- 25 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- — Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #270 Tech · This week · Profit & loss
- Avg. trade size
- $15.84 1,495 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours?Yes200.0015.0¢$168.88$30.00▲+$139
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes125.0056.0¢$51.25$70.00▼−$19
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes57.6926.0¢$50.77$15.00▲+$36
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?No37.0454.0¢$36.93$20.00▲+$17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Yes37.5040.0¢$26.08$15.00▲+$11
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No23.8762.8¢$23.63$15.00▲+$8.63
Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Yes23.5563.7¢$22.28$15.00▲+$7.28
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No33.3345.0¢$16.33$15.00▲+$1.33
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes865.7916.2¢$11.26$140.00▼−$129
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes13.3258.1¢$10.13$7.74▲+$2.38
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes64.3317.8¢$7.53$11.43▼−$3.90
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes371.2216.2¢$4.45$60.00▼−$56
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes11.9963.0¢$4.08$7.55▼−$3.48
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?No16.2475.8¢$4.08$12.31▼−$8.23
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes395.5820.2¢$2.77$80.00▼−$77
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?No137.999.0¢$2.07$12.42▼−$10
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?Yes177.1428.2¢$0.89$50.00▼−$49
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?No0.4286.0¢$0.34$0.36▼−$0.02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?No23.0865.0¢$0.16$15.00▼−$15
Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?Yes75.6226.4¢$0.08$20.00▼−$20





















