easierthanmanifold

0xe15140da748ca6f978db95bd9303389aa7c2a8520xe151…a852

Joined Aug 21, 2023662 profile views

#482 Culture · Today

Total PnL: +$2.3k
Realized PnL: +$1.7k
Unrealized PnL: +$554
Markets traded: 194

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$938All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$21.041,011 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about easierthanmanifold's trading

36 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #482
Avg. trade size: $21.04

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No1,000.0688.7¢$974.05$886.89+$87

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No600.0092.2¢$585.00$553.00+$32

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No600.0083.0¢$583.20$498.00+$85

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes1,900.4325.7¢$399.09$488.55−$89

Trump out as President before 2027?No300.0083.7¢$288.00$251.00+$37

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No309.2859.7¢$250.51$184.70+$66

Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No229.7454.2¢$192.98$124.59+$68

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No200.0073.0¢$172.00$146.00+$26

Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes185.6777.7¢$165.25$144.21+$21

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No140.0059.1¢$130.20$82.80+$47

US strike on Cuba by December 31?No149.9953.0¢$128.99$79.50+$49

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?No150.0038.3¢$97.50$57.50+$40

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?No100.0078.0¢$94.80$78.00+$17

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No100.0050.0¢$86.00$50.00+$36

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No100.0045.8¢$71.10$45.76+$25

Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?No45.0093.0¢—$41.85—

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes281.921.8¢$31.58$5.07+$27

Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes57.8513.9¢$25.10$8.04+$17

Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes100.0025.0¢$22.00$25.00−$3

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes692.112.7¢$20.76$18.70+$2.06

Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No20.0085.0¢$19.70$17.00+$2.70

Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?No19.6288.0¢$18.64$17.27+$1.37

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,000.001.2¢$15.00$12.00+$3

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes991.821.3¢$14.64$12.41+$2.23

Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes420.053.3¢—$14.01—

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No20.0034.0¢$12.20$6.80+$5.40

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes27.3445.0¢$11.48$12.31−$0.83

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No50.0069.1¢$10.80$34.55−$24

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Yes15.0028.0¢$10.05$4.20+$5.85

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes999.991.6¢$8.00$16.00−$8.00

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureTodayProfit & loss#4820.00+$9.32