lug

0xe0dbdb7f005f233f4510e4ef7e53a2f76a8df44e0xe0db…f44e

Joined Nov 15, 2022855 profile views

#99 Mentions

Total PnL: +$93.1k
Realized PnL: +$83.2k
Unrealized PnL: +$9.9k
Markets traded: 4,360

PnL Performance

+$93.2k

1D change+$3.8kTotal PnL

7D change+$10.7kTotal PnL

30D change+$19.7kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$74.9kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$274.7140,974 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about lug's trading

71 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 1 day up
Best placing: #15
Avg. trade size: $274.71

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No16,793.9574.3¢$14,442.80$12,480.34+$2.0k

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No15,000.0092.0¢$13,650.00$13,800.00−$150

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No14,999.9680.4¢$11,099.97$12,054.89−$1.0k

Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes34,999.898.0¢$8,889.97$2,799.99+$6.1k

Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes29,998.8110.8¢$7,199.72$3,227.45+$4.0k

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes8,476.6647.0¢$5,340.30$3,984.02+$1.4k

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes7,948.5852.3¢$4,769.15$4,159.05+$610

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No4,796.1290.8¢$4,513.15$4,354.88+$158

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No5,000.0084.0¢$4,350.00$4,200.00+$150

Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No4,107.0577.8¢$3,860.63$3,195.76+$665

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?history incompleteNo5,000.0071.0¢$3,600.00$3,550.00+$50

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No4,999.9958.0¢$3,599.99$2,899.99+$700

No one announced as next James Bond?No4,536.6578.6¢$3,552.20$3,568.07−$16

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?No3,843.3088.0¢$3,305.23$3,382.10−$77

LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffshistory incompleteGalions7,317.0041.0¢$2,999.97$2,999.97$0

Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No3,000.0086.0¢$2,979.00$2,580.00+$399

LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffshistory incompleteSolary4,167.0072.0¢$2,958.57$3,000.24−$42

Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)history incompleteSolary5,356.9856.8¢$2,913.96$3,045.15−$131

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes7,000.0029.4¢$2,800.00$2,060.00+$740

Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes3,000.0090.0¢$2,730.00$2,700.00+$30

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No3,921.7077.3¢$2,666.76$3,033.39−$367

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes39,999.764.9¢$2,439.99$1,959.99+$480

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4,000.0041.1¢$2,324.00$1,644.00+$680

Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?No2,211.6790.2¢$2,036.86$1,993.86+$43

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,999.9978.0¢$1,929.99$1,560.00+$370

Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No1,951.5289.2¢$1,881.27$1,739.79+$141

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?No1,851.8689.4¢$1,759.27$1,654.93+$104

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes32,689.3215.7¢$1,706.61$5,116.66−$3.4k

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes2,999.9866.0¢$1,649.99$1,979.99−$330

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?No1,604.4987.9¢$1,428.00$1,409.86+$18

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallThis monthProfit & loss#445928,962.42+$30.2k

OverallThis weekProfit & loss#311173,432.83+$14.9k

OverallTodayProfit & loss#5211,484.00+$6.1k

OverallTodayVolume#43211,484.00+$6.1k

CultureThis monthVolume#42947,906.12+$40

EconomicsAll timeProfit & loss#558664,810.20+$11.8k

EconomicsThis monthVolume#47097,474.50−$3.7k

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#1970.00+$300

EsportsAll timeProfit & loss#5551,333,084.46+$33.3k

EsportsThis monthProfit & loss#142411,580.09+$22.7k

EsportsThis monthVolume#563411,580.09+$22.7k

EsportsTodayProfit & loss#6111,484.00+$77

EsportsTodayVolume#1511,484.00+$77

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#9740.00+$161

MentionsAll timeProfit & loss#99857,528.26+$19.6k

MentionsAll timeVolume#105857,528.26+$19.6k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#7756,754,240.30+$35.8k

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#580116,754.73+$2.3k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#832116,754.73+$2.3k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#14533,224.17+$2.9k

PoliticsThis weekVolume#63333,224.17+$2.9k

SportsAll timeVolume#87912,967,259.76+$6.1k

SportsThis monthProfit & loss#569231,921.67+$10.7k

SportsThis weekProfit & loss#203108,818.93+$12.8k

SportsThis weekVolume#919108,818.93+$12.8k

SportsTodayProfit & loss#460.00+$6.2k

TechAll timeProfit & loss#252144,275.83+$8.2k

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