Hot-Skull

0xd12f443b6a45225ae65d519a4bdef568d29ce85a0xd12f…e85a

Joined Apr 11, 20263,579 profile views

Total PnL: +$31.4k
Realized PnL: +$32.0k
Unrealized PnL: −$611
Markets traded: 1,194

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$4.8kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$56.9910,346 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Hot-Skull's trading

98 open positionsAnd 11 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #197
Avg. trade size: $56.99

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Christine Lagarde advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?history incompleteNo993.5593.0¢$904.13$924.00−$20

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No481.0097.3¢$471.01$467.84+$3.17

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No471.2996.9¢$460.14$456.57+$3.56

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No319.4997.6¢$308.99$311.84−$2.85

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes30,530.861.2¢$213.72$368.39−$155

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No150.0096.2¢$144.00$144.30−$0.30

French Presidential Election: United Right & Center Primary Announced?history incompleteYes200.1864.9¢$138.13$130.00+$8.13

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes520.9320.4¢$136.57$106.37+$30

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?history incompleteNo131.9195.1¢$125.05$125.48−$0.43

Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes9,337.982.5¢$102.72$238.11−$135

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?No79.4292.2¢$69.49$73.23−$3.74

Will Alex Pretti rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings of 2026?No75.8984.0¢$68.30$63.75+$4.55

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?history incompleteYes118.8958.0¢$66.58$68.96−$2.38

Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?history incompleteYes500.0013.0¢$65.00$65.00$0

Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?history incompleteYes1,631.583.8¢$63.59$62.00+$1.59

Will Markus Allard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County?No65.0090.6¢$63.16$58.87+$4.29

Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?Yes405.5714.9¢$60.84$60.62+$0.21

Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Yes2,588.778.7¢$51.78$225.77−$174

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes500.002.8¢$34.00$14.00+$20

2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?history incompleteKnafo500.006.5¢$32.50$32.50$0

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes926.191.7¢$27.79$16.11+$12

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No27.5795.5¢$26.35$26.31+$0.04

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes839.442.2¢$25.18$18.19+$6.99

Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?Yes106.6312.0¢$19.19$12.80+$6.40