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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Outcome 243.0064.0¢$27.31$27.52▼−$0.21

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Outcome 240.0027.0¢$10.20$10.40▼−$0.20

Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Outcome 210.0099.8¢$9.98$9.98▼−$0.01

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?Outcome 129.3012.4¢$9.43$3.64▲+$5.79

Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Outcome 11,028.451.6¢$3.09$16.05▼−$13

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Outcome 13.372.8¢$0.31$0.09▲+$0.22

Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Outcome 1479.103.1¢$0.24$14.97▼−$15

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Outcome 1235.000.8¢$0.12$1.82▼−$1.70

Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Outcome 1234.902.8¢$0.12$6.47▼−$6.35

Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Outcome 1227.581.1¢$0.11$2.55▼−$2.44

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 33% and 36% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Outcome 13.372.7¢$0.10$0.09▲+$0.01

Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Outcome 1163.0416.5¢$0.08$26.84▼−$27

Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Outcome 20.0898.0¢$0.08$0.08$0.00

Will Marina Silva win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?Outcome 20.0885.0¢$0.07$0.07▲+$0.01

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?Outcome 20.0799.9¢$0.07$0.07$0.00

Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Outcome 20.0699.9¢$0.06$0.06$0

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?Outcome 20.0599.7¢$0.05$0.05$0.00

Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?Outcome 20.0492.4¢$0.03$0.03$0.00

Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Outcome 20.0399.8¢$0.03$0.03$0

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Outcome 20.0399.6¢$0.03$0.03$0

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Outcome 20.0398.8¢$0.03$0.03$0.00

Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Outcome 20.0394.7¢$0.03$0.03$0.00

Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Outcome 20.0390.3¢$0.03$0.03$0.00

Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Outcome 20.0299.9¢$0.02$0.02$0

Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Outcome 20.0299.9¢$0.02$0.02$0

Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL MVP?Outcome 20.0299.9¢$0.02$0.02$0

Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?Outcome 20.0299.7¢$0.02$0.02$0

Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Outcome 20.0299.5¢$0.02$0.02$0.00

Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Outcome 20.0299.9¢$0.02$0.02$0

Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Outcome 20.0299.4¢$0.02$0.02$0.00

Only positions where this trader is among the top 100 holders of an outcome, in the 2,000 most traded open markets. Not the full portfolio. The first 64 are valued at the live order-book price when it is available; the rest at Polymarket's snapshot, with the time it was taken.