AlfredTheShiller

0xcd6be6693e2bc11150d397caa9e6f7c6744b68f50xcd6b…68f5

Joined Jul 22, 20241,440 profile views

Total PnL: +$46.2k
Realized PnL: +$45.3k
Unrealized PnL: +$925
Markets traded: 1,373

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$6.2kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$88.8913,025 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about AlfredTheShiller's trading

24 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #176
Avg. trade size: $88.89

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No19,000.0050.0¢$17,557.65$9,500.00+$8.1k

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No13,183.6980.6¢$11,733.49$10,631.16+$1.1k

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes7,341.8353.6¢$4,845.61$3,933.40+$912

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes9,999.9910.0¢$3,400.00$1,000.00+$2.4k

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes19,000.0050.0¢$1,444.00$9,500.00−$8.1k

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes7,000.0045.1¢$1,400.00$3,159.99−$1.8k

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,499.9970.7¢$1,034.99$1,059.99−$25

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No1,002.0983.6¢$979.04$837.36+$142

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,000.0050.5¢$910.00$505.00+$405

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,999.9928.9¢$520.00$578.79−$59

Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Yes1,999.9817.9¢$519.99$357.75+$162

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes10,015.2011.5¢$450.68$1,150.75−$700

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No3,000.3747.0¢$111.01$1,410.35−$1.3k

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes2,016.7421.2¢$98.33$428.35−$330

Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes1,999.985.0¢$44.00$100.00−$56

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,333.004.3¢$43.33$143.32−$100

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes500.0220.0¢$26.10$100.01−$74

Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes147.363.0¢$13.26$4.42+$8.84

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes4,624.870.5¢$9.25$23.12−$14

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?Yes200.008.0¢$5.20$16.00−$11

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes261.4821.0¢$3.46$54.91−$51

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes479.9927.2¢$2.40$130.44−$128

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes662.881.7¢$0.66$11.25−$11

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No0.2888.4¢$0.07$0.25−$0.18

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CryptoThis monthProfit & loss#6580.00+$2.6k

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#9710.00+$162

MentionsAll timeProfit & loss#17695,510.89+$10.5k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#8602,499.98+$402

PolySmarter