Aragorn-II

0xc9ad18bc5d11639af167cc879fbc1333e22e79d00xc9ad…79d0

Joined Jan 13, 20251,180 profile views

#915 Politics · Today

Total PnL: +$28.3k
Realized PnL: +$26.9k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.4k
Markets traded: 960

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$1.0kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$125.547,555 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Aragorn-II's trading

35 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #915
Avg. trade size: $125.54

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No3,199.9777.6¢$2,975.97$2,482.95+$493

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,100.0075.3¢$2,666.00$2,335.00+$331

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,500.0081.2¢$1,925.00$2,030.99−$106

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No1,808.5168.8¢$1,591.49$1,243.88+$348

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No1,400.0099.3¢$1,398.60$1,390.20+$8.40

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,201.9891.6¢$1,177.94$1,100.48+$77

Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,086.6578.7¢$967.12$854.99+$112

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No900.0074.8¢$837.00$673.00+$164

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No825.0076.1¢$801.07$627.75+$173

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No770.7997.6¢$767.71$752.36+$15

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes700.0093.5¢$675.50$654.50+$21

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No700.0086.0¢$671.30$602.00+$69

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No700.0087.0¢$665.00$609.00+$56

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No600.0065.3¢$576.00$392.00+$184

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No500.0096.8¢$496.05$483.93+$12

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No500.0092.0¢$470.00$460.00+$10

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes675.0078.6¢$463.48$530.48−$67

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No499.9987.8¢$449.99$438.99+$11

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes500.0083.7¢$440.00$418.50+$21

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes500.0084.6¢$415.50$423.00−$7.50

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No400.0071.0¢$383.02$284.00+$99

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No400.0093.0¢$376.00$372.00+$4

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes499.9968.0¢$354.99$339.99+$15

Iran leadership change by October 31?No299.9989.0¢$289.19$267.00+$22

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,000.0019.0¢$231.00$570.00−$339

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No250.0055.0¢$227.05$137.50+$90

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?history incompleteNo300.0077.0¢$224.70$231.00−$6.30

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes175.0183.0¢$106.76$145.26−$39

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes500.0063.0¢$100.00$315.00−$215

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No100.0040.0¢$96.00$40.00+$56

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#9150.00+$73