Aragorn-II

0xc9ad18bc5d11639af167cc879fbc1333e22e79d00xc9ad…79d0

Joined Jan 13, 20251,193 profile views

#489 Tech · This week

Total PnL: +$28.6k
Realized PnL: +$27.2k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.5k
Markets traded: 979

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$1.0kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$126.407,643 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Aragorn-II's trading

35 open positionsAnd 1 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #489
Avg. trade size: $126.40

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No3,199.9777.6¢$3,113.57$2,482.95+$631

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,100.0075.3¢$2,852.00$2,335.00+$517

Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No1,808.5168.8¢$1,609.57$1,243.88+$366

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No1,201.9891.6¢$1,180.74$1,100.48+$80

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No900.0074.8¢$872.10$673.00+$199

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,500.0081.2¢$775.00$2,030.99−$1.3k

Iran leadership change by December 31?No786.6578.7¢$739.45$618.94+$121

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No700.0086.0¢$689.50$602.00+$87

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes700.0093.5¢$688.80$654.50+$34

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No700.0087.0¢$681.80$609.00+$73

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?history incompleteNo700.0087.0¢$651.00$609.00+$42

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?history incompleteNo799.9869.3¢$638.38$554.42+$84

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes675.0078.6¢$607.50$530.48+$77

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes667.3068.0¢$580.55$453.76+$127

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?No600.0065.3¢$557.40$392.00+$165

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?history incompleteYes500.0075.0¢$499.50$375.00+$125

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No500.0092.0¢$488.00$460.00+$28

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?history incompleteNo500.0080.0¢$487.50$400.00+$87

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No499.9987.8¢$484.99$438.99+$46

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No412.5176.1¢$397.24$313.88+$83

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No400.0093.0¢$392.55$372.00+$21

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?history incompleteNo300.0065.0¢$291.00$195.00+$96

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?history incompleteNo300.0075.0¢$249.00$225.00+$24

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes260.0083.7¢$243.62$217.62+$26

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No250.0055.0¢$237.50$137.50+$100

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,000.0019.0¢$225.00$570.00−$345

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes88.0183.0¢$86.52$73.05+$13

Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?history incompleteNo75.0077.0¢$74.93$57.75+$17

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes500.0063.0¢$30.00$315.00−$285

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?No17.3884.0¢$15.99$14.60+$1.39

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#9150.00+$2.98

TechThis weekProfit & loss#4890.00+$48