ArmageddonRewardsBilly

0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a0669464180xc8ab…6418

Joined Jan 25, 2025136,525 profile views

#627 Overall

Total PnL: +$320k
Realized PnL: +$336k
Unrealized PnL: −$16.2k
Markets traded: 51,227

PnL Performance

+$320k

1D change+$1.5kTotal PnL

7D change−$6.2kTotal PnL

30D change+$44.6kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$711kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$270.221,423,710 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about ArmageddonRewardsBilly's trading

907 open positionsAnd 317 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 1 day up
Best placing: #1
Avg. trade size: $270.22

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No230,000.0050.5¢$194,580.00$116,110.90+$78.5k

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes57,000.0187.7¢$49,020.01$49,979.15−$1.0k

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No39,961.5482.4¢$36,365.00$32,916.88+$3.4k

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes230,000.0449.5¢$35,190.01$113,959.96−$78.8k

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No24,560.9361.2¢$22,596.06$15,020.24+$7.6k

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No25,523.7683.0¢$22,460.91$21,176.74+$1.3k

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No22,424.6683.1¢$21,303.43$18,641.06+$2.7k

Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes21,403.2991.6¢$19,905.06$19,610.51+$295

Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes20,870.7987.2¢$18,783.71$18,206.32+$577

Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes15,651.9895.5¢$14,900.69$14,941.31−$41

Jensen Huang divorce in 2026?No12,999.9885.1¢$11,179.98$11,067.13+$113

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?No11,828.8292.3¢$10,645.94$10,917.31−$271

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes15,076.0976.1¢$9,950.22$11,477.87−$1.5k

Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?No10,805.9486.1¢$9,109.41$9,305.52−$196

Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?No9,474.4491.7¢$8,811.23$8,688.20+$123

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?No10,313.4686.3¢$8,766.44$8,897.63−$131

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No9,287.6592.4¢$8,748.96$8,586.36+$163

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes8,999.9996.2¢$8,684.99$8,661.98+$23

Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?No8,922.4792.6¢$8,538.80$8,266.65+$272

Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes10,567.4677.2¢$8,453.97$8,154.41+$300

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes11,406.5368.5¢$7,414.24$7,818.84−$405

AI bubble burst in 2026?No7,921.7890.9¢$7,252.19$7,199.88+$52

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?No8,072.3584.0¢$6,861.49$6,782.11+$79

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No9,011.3388.9¢$6,578.27$8,013.74−$1.4k

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?No6,500.0093.6¢$6,136.00$6,084.99+$51

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes6,100.5693.2¢$5,765.03$5,683.25+$82

Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes6,063.8286.1¢$5,214.88$5,220.23−$5.35

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No5,500.0492.4¢$5,170.03$5,080.00+$90

Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?No5,275.1591.3¢$4,958.64$4,815.58+$143

Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?No4,834.2688.2¢$4,829.43$4,265.60+$564

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#627533,073,980.60+$335k

OverallAll timeVolume#12533,073,980.60+$335k

OverallThis monthProfit & loss#8411,447,411.12+$339k

OverallThis monthVolume#12411,447,411.12+$339k

OverallThis weekVolume#2021,536,182.72−$6.8k

OverallTodayProfit & loss#6620.00+$2.9k

OverallTodayVolume#419123,826.26+$4.4k

CryptoAll timeProfit & loss#25135,773,275.42+$119k

CryptoAll timeVolume#11035,773,275.42+$119k

CryptoThis weekProfit & loss#83639,609.30+$1.0k

CultureAll timeVolume#2923,057,159.63−$40.2k

CultureThis monthVolume#36168,364.98−$442

CultureThis weekProfit & loss#71327,831.15+$81

CultureThis weekVolume#26727,831.15+$81

CultureTodayVolume#3732,277.36−$54

EconomicsAll timeProfit & loss#372,464,368.49+$966k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#1572,464,368.49+$966k

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#191,491,550.55+$29.7k

EconomicsThis monthVolume#271,491,550.55+$29.7k

EconomicsThis weekVolume#26312,263.22−$5.5k

EconomicsTodayVolume#2025,452.35−$625

FinanceAll timeVolume#163,585,333.89−$464k

FinanceThis monthVolume#45545,445.82−$22.1k

FinanceThis weekVolume#48274,974.44−$27.6k

FinanceTodayVolume#1829,068.61−$4.6k

MentionsAll timeVolume#94,944,472.03−$31.4k

MentionsThis monthVolume#2252,141.32−$61

MentionsThis weekProfit & loss#72450.00+$15

MentionsThis weekVolume#69450.00+$15

MentionsTodayProfit & loss#530.00+$2

PolySmarter