ArmageddonRewardsBilly

0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a0669464180xc8ab…6418

Joined Jan 25, 2025134,339 profile views

Total PnL: +$303k
Realized PnL: +$342k
Unrealized PnL: −$39.4k
Markets traded: 49,555

PnL Performance

+$303k

1D change−$2.7kTotal PnL

7D change−$20.2kTotal PnL

30D change+$534kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$711kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$270.831,385,970 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about ArmageddonRewardsBilly's trading

592 open positionsAnd 10 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 4 days down
Best placing: #1
Avg. trade size: $270.83

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No280,000.0050.0¢$221,760.00$140,000.00+$81.8k

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes280,000.0150.0¢$58,240.00$139,999.72−$81.8k

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No49,670.4181.6¢$41,723.14$40,510.69+$1.2k

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No42,404.8587.5¢$36,044.12$37,102.00−$1.1k

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes35,407.7684.6¢$27,972.13$29,971.67−$2.0k

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No28,740.7383.1¢$26,441.47$23,891.45+$2.6k

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No31,887.2784.3¢$25,477.93$26,883.97−$1.4k

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No29,045.6455.7¢$24,979.25$16,174.42+$8.8k

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes21,396.5486.9¢$19,234.64$18,585.93+$649

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?No30,999.9484.1¢$17,731.96$26,063.16−$8.3k

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes20,000.0189.5¢$16,200.00$17,899.96−$1.7k

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No20,000.0482.0¢$16,000.03$16,399.93−$400

Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No11,000.0096.3¢$10,533.05$10,589.98−$57

Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No11,273.6488.1¢$9,244.39$9,928.05−$684

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No10,543.7088.2¢$8,856.71$9,297.62−$441

Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?Yes9,422.4187.8¢$8,762.84$8,276.71+$486

US strike on Cuba by December 31?No9,650.5284.2¢$8,299.45$8,124.78+$175

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No8,845.2479.9¢$8,226.08$7,066.37+$1.2k

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12,731.4043.9¢$7,740.69$5,586.18+$2.2k

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No8,000.0092.0¢$7,360.00$7,359.99+$0.01

Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Yes8,209.9484.5¢$6,814.25$6,940.26−$126

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?No7,085.2286.0¢$6,164.14$6,093.80+$70

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No7,180.9290.4¢$6,031.97$6,487.98−$456

Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?No5,965.9696.8¢$5,757.15$5,774.88−$18

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No5,640.4196.3¢$5,420.43$5,433.15−$13

Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?No6,000.0089.7¢$5,160.00$5,379.97−$220

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes12,631.0055.0¢$4,926.09$6,941.90−$2.0k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes8,012.5864.3¢$4,727.42$5,152.27−$425

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No9,398.4972.6¢$4,605.26$6,823.14−$2.2k

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No4,968.7089.9¢$4,322.77$4,466.81−$144

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#581519,064,892.84+$342k

OverallAll timeVolume#10519,064,892.84+$342k

OverallThis monthProfit & loss#227,591,292.86+$522k

OverallThis monthVolume#1457,591,292.86+$522k

OverallThis weekVolume#2121,356,502.04−$15.9k

OverallTodayVolume#40457,801.41−$3.3k

CryptoAll timeProfit & loss#24335,602,687.16+$119k

CryptoAll timeVolume#10535,602,687.16+$119k

CryptoThis monthVolume#697316,195.22−$220

CryptoThis weekVolume#82668,378.15−$69

CryptoTodayVolume#8765,450.01−$63

CultureAll timeVolume#2622,934,544.97−$38.8k

CultureThis monthVolume#67262,649.22−$3.4k

CultureThis weekVolume#10248,609.22−$2.1k

CultureTodayVolume#624262.56−$27

EconomicsAll timeProfit & loss#370,692,261.06+$949k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#1370,692,261.06+$949k

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#21,725,376.78+$596k

EconomicsThis monthVolume#261,725,376.78+$596k

EconomicsThis weekVolume#18232,659.51−$15.7k

EconomicsTodayVolume#2061,936.45−$302

FinanceAll timeVolume#162,753,319.73−$449k

FinanceThis monthVolume#71,005,652.38−$18.7k

FinanceThis weekVolume#2591,961.92−$1.3k

FinanceTodayVolume#704,443.97−$1.1k

MentionsAll timeVolume#94,939,267.64−$30.8k

MentionsThis monthVolume#1439,799.32−$2.2k

MentionsThis weekProfit & loss#475,267.69+$155

MentionsThis weekVolume#455,267.69+$155

MentionsTodayProfit & loss#606206.59−$80