0xc7d0…1f8a

This trader holds 1,966 open positions — too many to rank by current value here, so they are listed by cost, largest first.

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No3,739.0090.6¢$3,529.62$3,388.12▲+$141

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No3,014.2796.8¢$3,002.21$2,917.61▲+$85

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No2,577.6494.6¢$2,495.15$2,438.21▲+$57

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No2,640.0090.7¢$2,534.40$2,394.48▲+$140

Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No2,305.0096.2¢$2,216.95$2,217.41▼−$0.46

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No2,450.4489.1¢$2,388.75$2,182.96▲+$206

Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?Yes4,492.0047.1¢$179.68$2,117.82▼−$1.9k

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?No2,224.0195.2¢$2,217.34$2,117.26▲+$100

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?No2,057.5097.7¢$2,055.45$2,009.73▲+$46

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes2,033.7197.2¢$2,009.31$1,976.47▲+$33

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No2,175.7189.2¢$2,019.06$1,940.73▲+$78

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No1,971.1896.3¢$1,967.24$1,897.93▲+$69

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No2,483.0071.7¢$2,209.87$1,779.24▲+$431

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No1,709.0991.5¢$1,703.96$1,564.22▲+$140

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?No4,675.6133.4¢$378.72$1,563.83▼−$1.2k

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No1,913.0080.0¢$1,721.70$1,530.40▲+$191

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?No1,991.0075.0¢$159.28$1,493.25▼−$1.3k

Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No1,507.1595.1¢$1,492.08$1,433.66▲+$58

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No1,454.8097.6¢$1,441.71$1,419.88▲+$22

Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?No1,522.8993.0¢$1,500.04$1,416.62▲+$83

Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,851.2647.4¢$1,029.30$1,350.55▼−$321

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No2,400.0755.0¢$2,304.07$1,319.39▲+$1.0k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No1,375.4095.3¢$1,352.19$1,310.86▲+$41

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No1,572.2881.3¢$1,493.66$1,278.42▲+$215

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No1,325.9296.2¢$1,324.59$1,275.09▲+$50

Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?No1,301.0595.6¢$1,241.20$1,243.47▼−$2.27

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No1,322.0593.4¢$1,262.56$1,234.96▲+$28

Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?No1,282.9696.3¢$1,281.68$1,234.92▲+$47

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No1,256.1597.3¢$1,239.82$1,221.77▲+$18

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No1,280.0795.3¢$1,265.99$1,219.78▲+$46