Mithrandir.

0xb17d4706e45bf0935acc338162bd40af837e59ae0xb17d…59ae

Joined Mar 12, 202620 profile views

#930 Tech · Volume

Total PnL: +$4.7k
Realized PnL: +$10.6k
Unrealized PnL: −$5.9k
Markets traded: 2,327

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$2.7kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$64.9715,073 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Mithrandir.'s trading

342 open positionsAnd 8 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #376
Avg. trade size: $64.97

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes6,932.9761.3¢$1,324.20$4,249.80−$2.9k

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes875.0087.1¢$860.13$762.22+$98

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No600.0093.3¢$590.40$560.00+$30

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No600.0196.1¢$588.41$576.81+$12

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes588.9870.9¢$580.14$417.84+$162

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No600.0094.0¢$558.00$564.00−$6

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes1,250.0054.1¢$437.50$676.00−$238

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No500.0071.4¢$407.00$357.00+$50

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No400.0093.7¢$394.00$374.80+$19

Cuban regime falls in 2026?No400.0086.5¢$387.36$346.00+$41

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No402.3285.5¢$366.51$343.86+$23

Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No400.0090.0¢$364.00$360.00+$4

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No416.3472.5¢$349.73$301.93+$48

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No500.0041.0¢$320.00$205.00+$115

Will "Ebenezer" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?history incompleteYes300.0098.4¢$297.00$295.16+$1.84

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No600.0063.2¢$294.00$379.20−$85

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes544.1067.5¢$293.82$367.27−$73

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?No300.0084.0¢$273.00$252.00+$21

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No280.7279.0¢$261.07$221.84+$39

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No260.0041.4¢$255.32$107.56+$148

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes1,134.6129.0¢$249.61$328.84−$79

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes3,103.947.6¢$248.32$236.24+$12

Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No520.6368.6¢$244.70$356.92−$112

Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?No240.7698.5¢$240.28$237.15+$3.13

Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No271.0687.3¢$237.99$236.66+$1.34

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No249.9989.8¢$237.49$224.49+$13

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes3,900.6546.5¢$234.04$1,813.35−$1.6k

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No237.4693.8¢$233.26$222.84+$10

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No250.0076.2¢$225.00$190.50+$35

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes710.0076.1¢$224.77$540.20−$315

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis monthProfit & loss#9973,289.68+$201

CultureTodayProfit & loss#9200.00+$1.25

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#723500.00+$366

TechAll timeVolume#930203,933.45−$1.6k

TechTodayProfit & loss#3760.00+$1.64

WeatherTodayProfit & loss#8370.00+$0.10