Traders

parameter1

0xae91ec7354e12acb90922e9b7abdf6fc471f0f690xae91…0f69

Joined Oct 14, 202565 profile views

Total PnL
+$1.3k
Realized PnL
+$770
Unrealized PnL
+$530
Markets traded
1,492

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$233All time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$15.063,319 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about parameter1's trading

  • 124 open positionsAnd 4 settled, not yet redeemed
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Recent win rate
—
No closed market yet
Current streak
—
Total PnL, day by day
Best placing
#378
Finance · Today · Profit & loss
Avg. trade size
$15.06
3,319 trades on Polygon

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

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Top market outcomes

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Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

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Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

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Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes288.9621.6¢$248.51$62.41+$186
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?No190.3173.6¢$180.79$140.00+$41
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No180.0983.3¢$179.19$150.00+$29
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No166.3290.6¢$164.65$150.67+$14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes136.8973.8¢$114.57$101.07+$14
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes112.7853.2¢$110.30$60.00+$50
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No109.8991.0¢$103.30$100.00+$3.30
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes127.6660.9¢$95.74$77.75+$18
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?No95.2484.0¢$90.48$80.00+$10
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No99.9985.0¢$89.99$84.99+$5.00
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?No100.5169.6¢$85.16$70.00+$15
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?Yes91.4290.6¢$82.28$82.79−$0.51
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes81.9724.4¢$81.56$20.00+$62
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?No100.0073.0¢$77.00$73.00+$4
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No84.9487.0¢$76.45$73.90+$2.55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Yes81.7383.2¢$76.01$68.00+$8.01
GTA 6 launch postponed again?No75.4879.5¢$70.96$60.00+$11
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes63.4963.0¢$63.40$40.00+$23
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No69.0672.4¢$62.38$50.00+$12
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?history incompleteYes82.5371.5¢$59.42$59.00+$0.42
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Yes78.0164.1¢$58.40$50.00+$8.40

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL
CultureTodayProfit & loss#6070.00+$6.36
FinanceTodayProfit & loss#3788.85+$19
TechThis monthProfit & loss#5006,581.34+$186
TechThis monthVolume#8146,581.34+$186
TechThis weekVolume#7881,886.57−$51
TechTodayVolume#415229.04−$43