Konfucious

0xac761dd9b3a373cc9031dabaab1ecec5462993590xac76…9359

Joined Jan 27, 20261,360 profile views

#106 Economics · Today

Total PnL: +$7.5k
Realized PnL: +$7.3k
Unrealized PnL: +$257
Markets traded: 990

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$204All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$19.7510,689 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Konfucious's trading

67 open positionsAnd 1 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #106
Avg. trade size: $19.75

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes500.2954.8¢$295.17$274.13+$21

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No250.0096.4¢$241.75$241.00+$0.75

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No412.0755.5¢$230.76$228.62+$2.14

Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No299.5470.3¢$230.65$210.64+$20

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)No321.0065.0¢$221.49$208.70+$13

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes274.2060.2¢$219.36$165.01+$54

Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No200.0095.0¢$198.00$190.00+$8

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No200.0078.8¢$176.00$157.66+$18

Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Yes219.1143.5¢$166.52$95.37+$71

Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No200.0079.0¢$164.00$158.00+$6

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No200.0073.1¢$158.00$146.21+$12

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No150.9093.8¢$150.75$141.59+$9.15

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No396.6036.1¢$138.81$143.06−$4.25

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No243.0141.5¢$136.09$100.83+$35

Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31, 2026?No156.8382.6¢$125.46$129.52−$4.05

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes210.3965.0¢$118.66$136.81−$18

Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No125.0076.0¢$111.25$95.00+$16

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?No280.0020.5¢$103.60$57.40+$46

Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?Yes101.0230.6¢$99.50$30.91+$69

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No222.0041.7¢$93.46$92.61+$0.85

Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?Yes100.0076.5¢$93.00$76.50+$17

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?No109.6668.6¢$92.11$75.18+$17

Will Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No100.0090.0¢$90.00$90.00$0

Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?No100.0089.0¢$89.00$89.00$0

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Hike 25 bps200.0047.0¢$80.00$93.92−$14

Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026?No80.9549.9¢$75.29$40.43+$35

Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Yes81.0089.4¢$72.90$72.40+$0.50

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes95.1568.8¢$71.36$65.43+$5.93

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No73.2180.0¢$70.50$58.56+$12

NATO downs another Russian drone by October 15?No140.5840.9¢$64.67$57.52+$7.15

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis monthProfit & loss#8841,127.20+$113

EconomicsThis weekVolume#9281,375.00−$54

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#1060.00+$19

EconomicsTodayVolume#457590.00−$82

FinanceTodayProfit & loss#8060.00+$2.08

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#72965,077.10+$1.7k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#97311,402.41+$338

PoliticsTodayVolume#59481.15−$3.40

TechThis monthProfit & loss#8483,577.11+$70

TechThis weekProfit & loss#3152,007.00+$102

TechThis weekVolume#6902,007.00+$102

TechTodayProfit & loss#37715.45+$3.36

TechTodayVolume#451896.08−$0.98