low-prob-test-1-kes

0xa6e56c7a515d3473fbfbbd062da27b7b0ba428a00xa6e5…28a0

Joined Mar 23, 202614 profile views

#733 Culture · Today

Total PnL: −$247
Realized PnL: −$298
Unrealized PnL: +$50
Markets traded: 109

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$56All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$8.03227 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about low-prob-test-1-kes's trading

39 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #733
Avg. trade size: $8.03

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No258.0417.1¢$74.83$44.12+$31

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes240.2321.0¢$67.26$50.45+$17

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes143.4416.0¢$64.12$22.92+$41

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes99.5016.0¢$50.75$15.92+$35

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes165.1219.0¢$47.88$31.37+$17

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No166.6416.2¢$43.33$26.93+$16

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No263.6316.7¢$32.43$44.03−$12

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes102.9434.0¢$28.82$35.00−$6.18

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?history incompleteYes83.3330.0¢$28.33$25.00+$3.33

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No103.7716.0¢$24.90$16.60+$8.30

Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027?Yes272.7311.0¢$24.55$30.00−$5.45

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes96.7731.0¢$24.19$30.00−$5.81

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes98.7715.6¢$23.41$15.41+$8.00

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes70.4717.6¢$14.23$12.40+$1.83

No one announced as next James Bond?Yes50.8021.7¢$14.22$11.02+$3.20

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?history incompleteYes84.5715.0¢$12.68$12.68$0

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes75.5116.3¢$12.53$12.32+$0.22

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes62.9616.0¢$11.96$10.07+$1.89

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes62.8018.0¢$11.93$11.30+$0.63

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes58.2719.0¢$11.65$11.07+$0.58

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes66.6117.0¢$9.99$11.32−$1.33

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes56.3720.0¢$9.62$11.27−$1.66

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?Yes71.4316.0¢$9.29$11.43−$2.14

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes102.5720.7¢$9.23$21.27−$12

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes13.3227.3¢$7.99$3.64+$4.36

Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes62.9616.0¢$7.56$10.07−$2.52

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes68.7916.0¢$6.19$11.01−$4.82

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes71.4316.0¢$5.71$11.43−$5.71

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes62.8018.0¢$3.01$11.30−$8.29

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes18.0225.0¢$2.70$4.51−$1.80

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureTodayProfit & loss#7330.00+$4.27

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#9170.00+$2.28