risk-manager

0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd0xa61e…0abd

Joined Oct 15, 202434,063 profile views

#1 Economics · Volume

Total PnL: +$134k
Realized PnL: +$177k
Unrealized PnL: −$42.6k
Markets traded: 884

PnL Performance

+$133k

1D change−$1.2kTotal PnL

7D change−$2.8kTotal PnL

30D change−$26.5kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$202kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$27.70812,439 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about risk-manager's trading

78 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 3 days down
Best placing: #1
Avg. trade size: $27.70

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No25,999.9779.5¢$24,179.97$20,669.63+$3.5k

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No19,058.1094.5¢$18,753.17$18,010.38+$743

Modi out by December 31, 2026?No11,103.2595.7¢$10,914.49$10,623.60+$291

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes105,000.1130.9¢$10,724.19$32,455.74−$21.7k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No11,067.6389.2¢$10,392.50$9,874.62+$518

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10,000.0182.7¢$9,200.01$8,275.00+$925

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No8,247.6788.4¢$7,926.32$7,287.82+$639

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November?No9,999.9897.3¢$7,559.99$9,729.99−$2.2k

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,499.9775.0¢$4,391.97$3,374.94+$1.0k

Will GameStop acquire eBay?No4,042.4485.9¢$3,949.47$3,472.01+$477

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No4,000.0370.0¢$3,640.02$2,800.01+$840

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?No3,399.8996.1¢$3,352.29$3,266.18+$86

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No2,500.0095.6¢$2,460.00$2,390.99+$69

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes2,876.5776.0¢$2,278.24$2,186.02+$92

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,194,023.220.8¢$2,194.02$17,513.49−$15.3k

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?No1,999.9897.8¢$1,983.98$1,956.98+$27

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,500.0094.3¢$1,186.88$1,414.49−$228

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes2,271.9388.9¢$999.65$2,018.91−$1.0k

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in November?No1,000.0098.3¢$986.00$983.00+$3

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?No1,000.0094.0¢$981.00$940.00+$41

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,500.0088.0¢$930.00$1,320.00−$390

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1,574.0784.3¢$519.44$1,326.80−$807

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes250,000.010.4¢$500.00$1,000.00−$500

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes500,000.010.2¢$500.00$1,000.00−$500

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in November?No500.0095.4¢$491.50$477.00+$15

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No450.0075.6¢$430.65$340.20+$90

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes398,456.170.6¢$398.46$2,390.34−$2.0k

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes6,499.9657.1¢$390.00$3,709.94−$3.3k

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic450.0067.0¢$355.50$301.50+$54

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?No304.0793.0¢$282.78$282.78$0.00

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeVolume#7699,828,305.89+$177k

CryptoAll timeVolume#7148,027,909.70+$15.1k

CultureAll timeProfit & loss#26713,227,478.47+$30.2k

CultureAll timeVolume#6113,227,478.47+$30.2k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#1252,774,328.44−$35.0k

FinanceAll timeVolume#411952,051.88+$4.9k

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#24751,082.82+$3.8k

FinanceThis monthVolume#55251,082.82+$3.8k

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#89312,147.53+$248

FinanceThis weekVolume#99912,147.53+$248

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#382191,430,558.46+$141k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#10191,430,558.46+$141k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#2291,150,481.35+$278

PoliticsThis weekVolume#72637,908.99−$452

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#2530.00+$569

SportsAll timeVolume#42192,652,632.60+$28.4k

PolySmarter