risk-manager

0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd0xa61e…0abd

Joined Oct 15, 202433,952 profile views

#1 Economics · Volume

Total PnL: +$166k
Realized PnL: +$195k
Unrealized PnL: −$28.9k
Markets traded: 867

PnL Performance

+$165k

1D change−$1.1kTotal PnL

7D change+$711Total PnL

30D change−$15.0kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$202kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$27.53811,400 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about risk-manager's trading

64 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 1 day down
Best placing: #1
Avg. trade size: $27.53

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No31,969.2080.7¢$29,507.57$25,796.78+$3.7k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No25,999.9779.5¢$19,759.97$20,669.63−$910

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes105,000.1130.9¢$17,325.02$32,455.74−$15.1k

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No14,999.9994.0¢$14,309.99$14,099.99+$210

Will GameStop acquire eBay?No14,916.4583.7¢$13,872.30$12,491.61+$1.4k

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10,000.3983.0¢$9,200.36$8,300.31+$900

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No10,000.0182.7¢$8,600.01$8,275.00+$325

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No7,499.9891.0¢$7,492.48$6,821.95+$671

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?No5,067.6384.4¢$4,925.73$4,278.15+$648

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No5,000.0086.0¢$4,500.00$4,300.00+$200

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,194,023.220.8¢$4,388.05$17,513.49−$13.1k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes5,456.6488.9¢$4,365.31$4,848.93−$484

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No4,499.9775.0¢$4,229.97$3,374.94+$855

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No3,000.0089.0¢$2,790.00$2,670.00+$120

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No4,000.0370.0¢$2,000.01$2,800.01−$800

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes1,999.9869.7¢$1,839.73$1,394.98+$445

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes6,499.9657.1¢$1,299.99$3,709.94−$2.4k

Trump out as President before 2027?Yes19,158.2814.8¢$957.91$2,825.85−$1.9k

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes472,258.280.2¢$944.52$944.52$0.00

Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1,574.0784.3¢$881.48$1,326.80−$445

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes500,000.010.2¢$500.00$1,000.00−$500

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?No450.0075.6¢$409.95$340.20+$70

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes398,456.170.6¢$398.46$2,390.34−$2.0k

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes195,884.480.6¢$391.77$1,175.11−$783

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1,499.9923.0¢$390.00$345.00+$45

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic450.0067.0¢$387.00$301.50+$86

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes492.5680.7¢$369.42$397.40−$28

Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes250,000.010.4¢$250.00$1,000.00−$750

0x714680390a2b24f618fd9ebfde14f37c3cb35909c12b16a33c1962fe2ca31e50Outcome 17,245.382.9¢—$212.54—

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes4,800.627.2¢$187.22$345.35−$158

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeVolume#7698,511,368.69+$195k

CryptoAll timeVolume#6848,014,709.72+$15.1k

CultureAll timeProfit & loss#26413,227,478.47+$30.2k

CultureAll timeVolume#6013,227,478.47+$30.2k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#1252,774,328.44−$35.0k

FinanceAll timeVolume#386900,969.07+$4.4k

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#1836,492.54+$1.4k

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#4770.00+$109

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#309190,177,904.06+$160k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#10190,177,904.06+$160k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#731,200,912.12−$14.8k

SportsAll timeVolume#37192,652,632.60+$28.4k

PolySmarter