big-bird1

0xa58f84122535fbe42cec75d70e24ba0dd7e7cec80xa58f…cec8

Joined Aug 20, 2026340 profile views

#103 Mentions · This week

Total PnL: +$7.6k
Realized PnL: +$6.5k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.0k
Markets traded: 15,852

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$382All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$6.4284,959 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about big-bird1's trading

1,517 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #103
Avg. trade size: $6.42

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

This trader holds 1,517 open positions — too many to rank by current value here, so they are listed by cost, largest first.

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes1,339.0172.3¢$1,303.20$968.28+$335

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No950.8485.4¢$865.26$812.46+$53

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes691.0885.9¢$688.32$593.52+$95

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No748.3071.1¢$703.40$532.15+$171

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes590.2581.5¢$519.42$480.91+$39

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No408.9787.5¢$380.34$357.84+$23

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes684.1444.8¢$519.94$306.68+$213

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes345.5388.1¢$337.24$304.36+$33

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30?No274.0796.4¢$265.57$264.14+$1.43

Cuban regime falls in 2026?No241.2592.0¢$234.25$221.92+$12

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No239.7686.9¢$230.17$208.45+$22

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes245.4884.0¢$228.29$206.17+$22

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No223.6589.4¢$201.28$200.01+$1.27

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes231.4985.1¢$230.79$196.92+$34

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes218.7186.1¢$190.28$188.40+$1.87

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No184.3894.7¢$179.59$174.70+$4.89

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No203.2885.2¢$197.38$173.29+$24

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No191.7385.7¢$187.70$164.23+$23

Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes168.4988.8¢$161.75$149.58+$12

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 13?Yes132.9199.1¢$132.25$131.75+$0.50

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No163.8477.1¢$154.99$126.39+$29

Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by March 31, 2027?No163.8175.6¢$122.86$123.82−$0.96

Will Tomáš Chovanec be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?Yes130.3694.6¢$129.45$123.29+$6.16

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No180.4766.7¢$142.75$120.44+$22

Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?No139.6082.5¢$104.98$115.23−$10

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No161.7268.1¢$134.23$110.11+$24

Thunder vs. Clippershistory incompleteThunder162.7764.6¢$0.16$105.10−$105

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No139.5475.2¢$131.17$104.99+$26

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No118.9387.2¢$102.28$103.68−$1.40

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes114.8688.1¢$107.85$101.15+$6.71

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis weekProfit & loss#8671,104.28+$57

CultureTodayProfit & loss#74641.09+$4.57

CultureTodayVolume#74341.09+$4.57

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#6721,599.61+$54

EconomicsTodayVolume#94091.63+$11

EsportsThis monthProfit & loss#988128,241.21+$2.4k

FinanceTodayVolume#53779.56+$1.71

MentionsThis monthProfit & loss#4561,440.66+$9.72

MentionsThis monthVolume#3021,440.66+$9.72

MentionsThis weekProfit & loss#10348.14+$6.81

MentionsThis weekVolume#21948.14+$6.81

PoliticsTodayVolume#715319.97−$4.95

TechThis monthProfit & loss#6235,278.18+$140

TechThis monthVolume#8715,278.18+$140

TechThis weekProfit & loss#3801,092.18+$87

TechThis weekVolume#9511,092.18+$87

TechTodayVolume#55036.94−$4.78

WeatherThis monthProfit & loss#5077,509.88+$267

WeatherThis weekProfit & loss#4781,971.27+$78

WeatherTodayProfit & loss#5140.00+$3.54