IbnKhaldun

0xa4bc3bbdac29e51c0c4f8485cd15e36d7478026c0xa4bc…026c

Joined Feb 21, 2025898 profile views

#138 Finance · This month

Total PnL: +$11.0k
Realized PnL: +$12.5k
Unrealized PnL: −$1.5k
Markets traded: 355

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$6.7kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$281.353,577 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about IbnKhaldun's trading

46 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #138
Avg. trade size: $281.35

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No525.0684.0¢$517.18$440.80+$76

Will AI solve Legendre's conjecture in 2026?No533.3375.0¢$516.27$400.00+$116

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No700.0064.0¢$497.00$448.00+$49

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes10,000.0011.0¢$440.00$1,100.00−$660

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No300.0189.0¢$276.01$267.00+$9.00

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?history incompleteYes1,863.3814.0¢$242.24$260.87−$19

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No263.9887.1¢$234.94$230.00+$4.94

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes8,599.9312.7¢$215.00$1,089.99−$875

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No240.0084.0¢$211.20$201.60+$9.60

Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026?No200.0071.0¢$182.00$142.00+$40

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?No200.0083.0¢$168.00$166.00+$2

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No178.5756.0¢$153.57$100.00+$54

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes313.9734.5¢$131.87$108.21+$24

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No145.7668.6¢$123.90$100.00+$24

Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?No133.3375.0¢$116.00$100.00+$16

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No114.9487.0¢$114.71$100.00+$15

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No197.4650.3¢$107.02$99.30+$7.73

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No109.9976.0¢$85.79$83.59+$2.20

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Up100.0085.0¢$82.00$85.00−$3

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes218.5028.5¢$72.11$62.27+$9.84

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes100.0040.0¢$67.00$40.00+$27

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?No50.0095.0¢$48.40$47.50+$0.90

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No65.3257.0¢$48.34$37.23+$11

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No400.0017.0¢$47.60$67.90−$20

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes603.9616.6¢$36.24$100.00−$64

Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026?No31.1296.4¢$30.53$30.00+$0.53

Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes50.0060.0¢$27.00$30.00−$3

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes189.5831.6¢$24.65$60.00−$35

Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes100.0037.0¢$20.00$37.00−$17

Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes50.0040.0¢$18.50$20.00−$1.50

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis weekVolume#9803,136.62+$17

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#3550.00+$4.48

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#1387,851.67+$1.8k

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#9700.00+$25

TechThis monthProfit & loss#4571,838.46+$205

TechThis weekProfit & loss#5390.00+$41