Mustafalafel

0x8c0b637b43ccbd2069b0f789b8439777fdb4f0fb0x8c0b…f0fb

Joined Jun 13, 2026130 profile views

Total PnL: +$42.3k
Realized PnL: +$40.5k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.8k
Markets traded: 574

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$15.5kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$98.468,561 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Mustafalafel's trading

121 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #74
Avg. trade size: $98.46

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No4,097.3442.7¢$3,835.11$1,751.07+$2.1k

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No3,606.4291.7¢$3,472.99$3,307.21+$166

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No3,333.0093.0¢$3,099.69$3,099.69$0

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No3,333.0090.0¢$3,033.03$2,999.70+$33

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No2,500.0098.0¢$2,462.50$2,450.00+$13

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No2,000.0178.3¢$1,580.01$1,566.00+$14

Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No1,332.9989.0¢$1,239.68$1,186.36+$53

Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No1,129.0091.0¢$1,097.39$1,026.92+$70

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No1,000.0085.7¢$965.01$857.50+$108

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No1,000.0092.0¢$942.00$920.00+$22

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,007.2582.0¢$936.74$825.94+$111

Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?No1,544.4683.8¢$808.60$1,294.80−$486

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No800.2097.3¢$789.80$778.23+$12

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes3,332.9923.0¢$566.61$766.59−$200

Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?No500.0096.3¢$487.00$481.25+$5.75

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No499.9983.5¢$439.99$417.49+$22

Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?No450.0095.2¢$433.35$428.45+$4.90

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?history incompleteNo667.0064.0¢$426.88$426.88$0

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No352.6550.0¢$352.30$176.33+$176

Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No333.0095.3¢$329.67$317.35+$12

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes333.0087.0¢$324.34$289.71+$35

Will Drake release a new album by December 31?Yes683.0042.4¢$309.74$289.85+$20

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?No314.9092.4¢$288.76$290.84−$2.08

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?No255.8295.1¢$253.52$243.31+$10

Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?No258.0586.2¢$234.83$222.45+$12

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No232.9882.7¢$230.42$192.74+$38

Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?No343.7511.0¢$220.00$37.81+$182

Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?No500.0013.0¢$200.00$65.00+$135

Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes98,917.770.1¢$197.84$118.51+$79

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No199.9969.0¢$181.99$137.99+$44

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis weekProfit & loss#410115.69+$137

CultureTodayProfit & loss#4000.00+$3.80

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#5166,686.14+$805

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#4940.00+$75

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#7417,006.91+$3.3k

FinanceThis monthVolume#70217,006.91+$3.3k

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#4823,333.00+$104

FinanceThis weekVolume#5533,333.00+$104

PoliticsThis monthVolume#254404,340.83−$3.6k

PoliticsThis weekVolume#28479,224.17−$32

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#8658.00+$15

PoliticsTodayVolume#6878.00+$15

TechThis monthProfit & loss#3219,516.91+$342

TechThis monthVolume#6339,516.91+$342

TechThis weekProfit & loss#426228.76+$63

WeatherThis monthProfit & loss#710727.68+$181

WeatherTodayProfit & loss#3630.00+$2.75

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