occasionalAwareness

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b0x8a4c…532b

Joined Dec 8, 2021391 profile views

#156 Overall

Total PnL: +$1.14M
Realized PnL: +$1.10M
Unrealized PnL: +$39.7k
Markets traded: 1,027

PnL Performance

+$1.14M

1D change−$3.2kTotal PnL

7D change−$2.7kTotal PnL

30D change+$16.9kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$161kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$925.3043,880 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about occasionalAwareness's trading

42 open positionsAnd 1 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 2 days down
Best placing: #25
Avg. trade size: $925.30

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes63,164.8944.3¢$50,531.91$27,968.36+$22.6k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes62,540.8735.5¢$46,905.65$22,177.11+$24.7k

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No28,909.9890.6¢$28,021.98$26,179.84+$1.8k

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?Under24,002.7258.1¢$23,882.71$13,950.95+$9.9k

Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes12,567.9541.7¢$8,294.84$5,246.64+$3.0k

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No34,579.4914.8¢$6,570.10$5,126.31+$1.4k

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes24,768.0229.9¢$3,640.90$7,415.63−$3.8k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes13,678.7011.5¢$3,282.89$1,567.92+$1.7k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes54,007.696.9¢$2,430.35$3,722.87−$1.3k

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes15,399.8046.0¢$2,309.97$7,082.84−$4.8k

Anthropic IPO before 2027?No11,600.0012.1¢$2,088.00$1,400.06+$688

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes15,476.6818.6¢$1,702.43$2,873.72−$1.2k

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes13,654.0619.9¢$1,501.95$2,721.00−$1.2k

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No7,070.8748.2¢$1,484.88$3,406.90−$1.9k

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes77,679.523.9¢$1,242.87$3,037.89−$1.8k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes11,030.1910.1¢$650.78$1,110.76−$460

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes2,937.6420.5¢$411.27$603.28−$192

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?Yes600.0073.6¢$360.00$441.55−$82

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes3,916.2421.2¢$234.97$831.75−$597

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes13,031.083.5¢$208.50$459.40−$251

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?Yes3,230.0021.0¢$174.42$678.30−$504

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No3,511.792.0¢$133.45$71.43+$62

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes394.5227.5¢$130.19$108.31+$22

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes5,178.2212.0¢$122.05$621.39−$499

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI2,627.6225.0¢$112.99$657.07−$544

Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes2,869.6311.3¢$97.57$325.40−$228

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes18,785.191.8¢$93.93$340.33−$246

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No500.0022.0¢$80.00$110.00−$30

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?OpenAI161.2010.1¢$58.03$16.28+$42

Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?No56.0789.9¢$55.45$50.41+$5.04

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#156102,690,901.39+$1.10M

OverallAll timeVolume#184102,690,901.39+$1.10M

OverallThis monthProfit & loss#601358,836.68+$22.7k

OverallThis weekProfit & loss#82515,857.65+$5.4k

CryptoAll timeProfit & loss#7392,377,192.46+$48.3k

CultureAll timeProfit & loss#854,321,089.28+$72.0k

CultureAll timeVolume#2624,321,089.28+$72.0k

CultureThis monthProfit & loss#22633,624.53+$782

CultureThis monthVolume#56133,624.53+$782

EconomicsAll timeVolume#9481,263,232.17+$4.3k

FinanceAll timeProfit & loss#442,012,687.67+$66.2k

FinanceAll timeVolume#1412,012,687.67+$66.2k

FinanceThis monthVolume#25552,923.55−$10.9k

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#2814,647.65+$2.4k

FinanceThis weekVolume#17814,647.65+$2.3k

FinanceTodayProfit & loss#470.00+$68

FinanceTodayVolume#935,999.98+$5.6k

MentionsAll timeVolume#433243,581.97−$5.3k

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#7581,736,497.23+$580k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#4681,736,497.23+$580k

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#25272,288.61+$32.8k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#376272,288.61+$32.8k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#1371,210.00+$3.0k

SportsAll timeProfit & loss#7874,478,066.05+$102k

TechAll timeProfit & loss#123705,755.30+$14.3k

TechAll timeVolume#210705,755.30+$14.3k

PolySmarter