occasionalAwareness

0x8a4c788f043023b8b28a762216d037e9f148532b0x8a4c…532b

Joined Dec 8, 2021855 profile views

#157 Overall

Total PnL: +$1.11M
Realized PnL: +$1.17M
Unrealized PnL: −$56.3k
Markets traded: 1,036

PnL Performance

+$1.11M

1D change−$3.6kTotal PnL

7D change+$21.2kTotal PnL

30D change−$17.7kTotal PnL

Biggest win+$161kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$928.4244,362 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about occasionalAwareness's trading

54 open positionsAnd 1 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: 1 day down
Best placing: #29
Avg. trade size: $928.42

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?history incompleteNo133,000.0095.0¢$131,537.00$126,415.00+$5.1k

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?history incompleteNo60,625.4190.0¢$56,381.63$54,562.87+$1.8k

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No27,555.5790.6¢$27,087.13$24,953.33+$2.1k

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes24,768.0229.9¢$22,430.86$7,415.63+$15.0k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes37,664.8944.3¢$16,572.55$16,677.39−$105

Plague pandemic in 2026?history incompleteNo8,252.7594.5¢$8,137.22$7,799.92+$337

Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?history incompleteNo6,145.3194.0¢$5,936.37$5,776.59+$160

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?history incompleteYes99,136.3142.1¢$5,520.80$41,775.63−$36.3k

Jensen Huang divorce in 2026?history incompleteNo6,111.4375.2¢$5,255.83$4,597.39+$658

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes19,910.9533.7¢$5,151.92$6,719.47−$1.6k

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No2,859.8848.2¢$2,631.09$1,377.95+$1.3k

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?history incompleteNo45,633.8239.8¢$2,509.86$18,151.68−$15.6k

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?history incompleteYes10,827.508.6¢$1,840.68$934.20+$906

Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?history incompleteNo1,999.9856.0¢$1,439.99$1,119.99+$320

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?Yes15,399.8046.0¢$1,077.99$7,082.84−$6.0k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Yes54,007.696.9¢$1,026.15$3,722.87−$2.7k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?history incompleteNo4,004.8920.8¢$861.05$835.02+$26

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No52,447.8213.4¢$734.27$7,053.73−$6.3k

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes77,679.523.9¢$699.12$3,037.89−$2.3k

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Yes15,476.6818.6¢$680.97$2,873.72−$2.2k

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?history incompleteNo508.9571.0¢$391.89$361.35+$31

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?history incompleteYes8,844.023.2¢$309.54$287.13+$22

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes13,654.0619.9¢$286.74$2,721.00−$2.4k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?Yes11,030.1910.1¢$231.63$1,110.76−$879

Anthropic IPO before 2027?No12,009.7412.0¢$204.17$1,441.03−$1.2k

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?history incompleteYes2,900.006.0¢$200.10$175.19+$25

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No500.0022.0¢$131.00$110.00+$21

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Yes5,178.2212.0¢$113.92$621.39−$507

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No3,511.792.0¢$105.35$71.43+$34

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes18,785.191.8¢$93.93$340.33−$246

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#157103,637,511.77+$1.17M

OverallAll timeVolume#197103,637,511.77+$1.17M

OverallThis weekProfit & loss#398407,206.73+$21.2k

OverallThis weekVolume#799407,206.73+$21.2k

CryptoAll timeProfit & loss#7762,377,192.46+$48.3k

CultureAll timeProfit & loss#864,454,089.28+$72.0k

CultureAll timeVolume#2584,454,089.28+$72.0k

CultureThis monthProfit & loss#73133,000.00+$5.2k

CultureThis monthVolume#179133,000.00+$5.2k

CultureThis weekProfit & loss#29133,000.00+$5.2k

CultureThis weekVolume#48133,000.00+$5.2k

CultureTodayProfit & loss#760.00+$399

EconomicsAll timeVolume#9721,263,232.17+$4.3k

FinanceAll timeProfit & loss#302,598,611.42+$99.2k

FinanceAll timeVolume#1062,598,611.42+$99.2k

FinanceThis monthVolume#92326,943.51−$46.1k

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#56273,697.78+$16.3k

FinanceThis weekVolume#49273,697.78+$16.3k

FinanceTodayProfit & loss#520.00+$500

MentionsAll timeVolume#435243,581.97−$5.3k

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#7581,883,117.11+$612k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#4781,883,117.11+$612k

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#42079,099.88+$18.8k

SportsAll timeProfit & loss#8374,478,066.05+$102k

TechAll timeProfit & loss#123744,620.32+$14.8k

TechAll timeVolume#217744,620.32+$14.8k

TechThis monthVolume#53310,694.14−$71

TechThis weekProfit & loss#5030.00+$46

TechTodayProfit & loss#4270.00+$9.22

PolySmarter