LeopoldArschenbrenner

0x867149d900abf49270d9194900efc5e13e3ad4b70x8671…d4b7

Joined Mar 10, 2026226 profile views

#243 Politics · This week

Total PnL: −$67
Realized PnL: +$5.2k
Unrealized PnL: −$5.3k
Markets traded: 54

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$1.1kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$274.671,054 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about LeopoldArschenbrenner's trading

196 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #243
Avg. trade size: $274.67

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes19,973.3154.0¢$7,390.12$10,785.57−$3.4k

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No14,101.5036.0¢$5,781.62$5,076.53+$705

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes33,698.527.8¢$5,223.27$2,636.81+$2.6k

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes22,872.4620.7¢$3,522.36$4,733.00−$1.2k

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes38,186.694.8¢$3,436.80$1,835.86+$1.6k

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes27,581.882.4¢$3,089.17$654.62+$2.4k

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No3,051.6659.6¢$2,777.01$1,818.70+$1.0k

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes36,265.793.5¢$2,756.20$1,256.30+$1.5k

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No5,225.7348.3¢$1,985.78$2,521.77−$536

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo4,722.5943.6¢$1,747.36$2,058.87−$312

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No3,333.0050.8¢$1,649.84$1,693.16−$43

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yes21,525.5614.5¢$1,549.84$3,122.13−$1.6k

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No1,665.0054.7¢$1,465.20$910.20+$555

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,504.2762.9¢$1,441.09$946.72+$494

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes46,349.891.3¢$1,251.45$600.74+$651

5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes4,825.7430.4¢$1,026.01$1,465.62−$440

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes31,904.941.3¢$957.15$425.21+$532

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No11,110.0024.5¢$888.80$2,721.99−$1.8k

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes4,130.030.7¢$854.92$28.20+$827

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20,794.940.7¢$831.80$147.47+$684

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes15,886.990.7¢$810.24$107.73+$703

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10,331.990.7¢$692.24$70.06+$622

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No1,242.1889.0¢$516.75$1,105.54−$589

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?No568.5169.9¢$461.63$397.55+$64

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes15,886.990.7¢$460.71$107.73+$353

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20,794.940.7¢$457.49$147.47+$310

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes15,886.990.7¢$413.06$107.73+$305

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,999.000.7¢$406.94$47.46+$359

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20,794.940.7¢$353.51$147.47+$206

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20,794.940.7¢$327.85$147.47+$180

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

PoliticsThis monthVolume#578179,573.47−$16.3k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#24346,271.92+$1.8k

PoliticsThis weekVolume#49746,271.92+$1.8k

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#291274.68+$299