Rafael88

0x720bd69011aa5a9ef7846e88648218a7b33d37f60x720b…37f6

Joined Oct 19, 2024268 profile views

#522 Politics · This month

Total PnL: −$3.5k
Realized PnL: −$5.5k
Unrealized PnL: +$2.0k
Markets traded: 191

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$2.4kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$176.542,748 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Rafael88's trading

22 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #522
Avg. trade size: $176.54

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes10,605.2741.0¢$6,331.34$4,345.03+$2.0k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No3,325.7658.8¢$2,328.03$1,955.18+$373

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2,148.2925.9¢$547.81$557.32−$9.51

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes2,211.5514.7¢$199.04$325.02−$126

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes1,183.5223.1¢$177.53$272.81−$95

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes200.6383.7¢$176.55$167.84+$8.71

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No144.1494.0¢$134.05$135.48−$1.43

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No104.6585.6¢$90.00$89.59+$0.41

Iran leadership change by December 31?No76.0885.0¢$67.71$64.66+$3.05

US recession by end of 2027?Yes183.4228.2¢$64.20$51.65+$13

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes413.1912.4¢$45.45$51.39−$5.94

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No50.2888.4¢$44.75$44.42+$0.33

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?No31.8887.7¢$28.37$27.96+$0.41

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No31.9681.0¢$27.49$25.90+$1.58

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No26.0396.9¢$25.48$25.22+$0.27

US recession by end of 2026?No21.7293.0¢$19.77$20.20−$0.43

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No10.0096.5¢$9.74$9.65+$0.09

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No10.0096.2¢$9.68$9.62+$0.06

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes113.6011.0¢$9.09$12.50−$3.41

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No7.3895.2¢$7.14$7.03+$0.11

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No6.3796.8¢$6.23$6.17+$0.06

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes0.0134.6¢$0.00$0.00$0.00

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

FinanceThis monthVolume#55322,791.87−$418

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#52288,121.92+$2.6k