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groth

0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f0150x71ab…f015

Joined Apr 23, 20254,640 profile views

#102 Economics
Total PnL
+$148k
Realized PnL
+$142k
Unrealized PnL
+$6.2k
Markets traded
532

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$19.2kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$138.478,229 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about groth's trading

  • 75 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
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Recent win rate
—
No closed market yet
Current streak
—
Total PnL, day by day
Best placing
#53
Tech · This week · Profit & loss
Avg. trade size
$138.47
8,229 trades on Polygon

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

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Top market outcomes

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Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

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Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

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Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No20,104.3489.0¢$20,084.23$17,901.28+$2.2k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No15,558.5278.4¢$14,158.25$12,196.96+$2.0k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No14,700.0183.7¢$12,642.01$12,305.31+$337
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No10,557.7683.8¢$10,547.21$8,848.26+$1.7k
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No9,294.2888.1¢$8,987.57$8,188.10+$799
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?history incompleteNo5,000.0099.7¢$4,995.00$4,985.00+$10
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No4,499.9986.7¢$4,387.49$3,899.98+$488
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes3,136.4415.6¢$1,850.50$488.55+$1.4k
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes3,748.8334.0¢$1,836.93$1,275.23+$562
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes5,479.7154.5¢$1,534.32$2,988.67−$1.5k
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No4,170.0022.2¢$1,251.00$924.70+$326
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,500.0181.0¢$1,230.01$1,215.01+$15
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No1,103.9471.8¢$1,070.82$792.67+$278
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No1,000.0077.0¢$999.00$770.00+$229
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No1,000.0092.8¢$976.00$928.00+$48
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Yes8,566.0316.0¢$856.60$1,367.06−$510
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes1,172.6981.4¢$680.16$954.57−$274
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?No753.2877.0¢$670.42$580.03+$90
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No1,110.2551.1¢$643.94$567.13+$77
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes1,537.0037.4¢$630.17$574.80+$55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2,000.0030.0¢$620.00$600.00+$20
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No735.5461.7¢$588.43$453.68+$135
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?No2,076.8815.3¢$581.53$316.73+$265
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No3,332.9818.8¢$566.61$626.99−$60
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?No5,109.099.9¢$510.91$505.83+$5.08
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No2,199.9633.1¢$505.99$727.98−$222
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?No500.0090.0¢$499.50$450.00+$50
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No500.0078.0¢$470.00$390.00+$80
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No517.5028.1¢$346.72$145.60+$201
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes1,300.0013.7¢$338.00$178.00+$160

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL
CultureThis monthProfit & loss#3304,635.13+$498
CultureThis weekProfit & loss#8710.00+$42
CultureTodayProfit & loss#7320.00+$2.25
EconomicsAll timeProfit & loss#102528,523.64+$71.8k
EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#3401,508.05+$1.8k
EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#6070.00+$1.66
FinanceAll timeProfit & loss#447340,385.55+$11.6k
FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#11013,232.13+$2.3k
FinanceThis monthVolume#84613,232.13+$2.3k
FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#4302,000.00+$119
FinanceThis weekVolume#8202,000.00+$119
FinanceTodayProfit & loss#3180.00+$11
PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#496155,868.16+$2.8k
PoliticsThis monthVolume#657155,868.16+$2.8k
PoliticsThis weekVolume#71628,856.35−$1.2k
TechThis monthProfit & loss#10111,567.40+$1.6k
TechThis monthVolume#53611,567.40+$1.6k
TechThis weekProfit & loss#530.00+$1.2k
TechTodayProfit & loss#6840.00+$0.92