ansatz

0x5fa44ddbefd7c2962719dfbe14b9f164104dcd4e0x5fa4…cd4e

Joined Jan 25, 20261,308 profile views

#475 Economics · This week

Total PnL: +$4.8k
Realized PnL: +$3.0k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.8k
Markets traded: 429

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$4.1kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$46.881,899 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about ansatz's trading

85 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #475
Avg. trade size: $46.88

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No608.0075.4¢$559.36$458.73+$101

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No500.0069.8¢$460.00$349.00+$111

Iran leadership change by December 31?No479.9981.5¢$451.19$391.09+$60

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?history incompleteNo500.0090.0¢$444.00$450.00−$6

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes400.0072.0¢$398.80$288.00+$111

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes400.0093.1¢$398.80$372.40+$26

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No400.0496.3¢$394.84$385.24+$9.61

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?No400.1774.2¢$392.16$296.92+$95

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No400.0092.0¢$391.60$368.00+$24

US strike on Mexico by December 31?No400.1687.8¢$390.56$351.20+$39

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No399.9888.0¢$389.58$351.99+$38

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No400.0090.0¢$389.20$360.00+$29

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No400.0082.9¢$388.00$331.50+$57

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No399.9987.5¢$387.59$349.99+$38

Cuban regime falls in 2026?No399.8082.2¢$387.17$328.56+$59

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No400.0076.8¢$386.40$307.34+$79

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes400.0077.0¢$386.00$308.00+$78

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No400.0071.0¢$384.39$284.00+$100

No one announced as next James Bond?No400.0085.9¢$378.80$343.40+$35

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes399.9882.4¢$373.58$329.48+$44

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes400.4274.6¢$372.39$298.80+$74

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No400.0092.0¢$372.00$368.00+$4

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?No400.0088.0¢$368.00$352.00+$16

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?No400.3263.8¢$364.29$255.21+$109

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No400.0067.0¢$364.00$268.00+$96

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes400.0076.8¢$360.00$307.29+$53

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No400.0076.7¢$352.00$307.00+$45

Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?No400.0078.0¢$348.00$312.00+$36

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No368.9674.6¢$346.83$275.26+$72

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?No400.0081.0¢$343.05$324.00+$19

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis monthProfit & loss#8032,219.81+$274

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#4750.00+$91