Drunken-Mentat

0x588ce22fb2bf698e5a3f61447a44b3afe0ad1bf40x588c…1bf4

Joined Jul 25, 2025578 profile views

#110 Economics · Today

Total PnL: +$5.7k
Realized PnL: +$4.6k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.1k
Markets traded: 702

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$783All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$80.684,881 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Drunken-Mentat's trading

43 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #110
Avg. trade size: $80.68

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,999.9652.9¢$2,359.98$2,115.47+$245

Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes2,029.9752.1¢$1,623.97$1,056.67+$567

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,050.0081.6¢$913.50$856.50+$57

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No1,100.0077.3¢$858.00$850.00+$8.00

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No950.0060.7¢$845.50$576.50+$269

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No760.9464.4¢$700.06$490.04+$210

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes4,999.9817.6¢$700.00$879.99−$180

New pandemic in 2026?No600.0193.0¢$576.01$558.01+$18

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No600.0071.4¢$540.00$428.10+$112

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No500.0093.0¢$493.68$465.00+$29

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No1,499.9930.3¢$477.40$455.00+$22

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No501.5071.0¢$466.39$355.86+$111

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No540.0055.1¢$437.40$297.57+$140

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No510.0073.0¢$433.50$372.15+$61

New pandemic before 2028?No500.0077.0¢$420.00$385.00+$35

Kash Patel out by December 31?No500.0079.0¢$400.00$395.00+$5

Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?Yes600.0074.2¢$324.00$445.00−$121

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No365.0241.1¢$306.61$149.87+$157

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?No305.0086.1¢$300.12$262.59+$38

António Guterres out by December 31?No387.8572.0¢$279.25$279.25$0.00

Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in September?No220.0088.0¢$208.75$193.60+$15

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No499.9934.9¢$201.01$174.50+$27

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes1,288.3752.5¢$193.25$676.83−$484

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?No175.9177.7¢$149.52$136.60+$13

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No1,000.0010.0¢$120.00$100.00+$20

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by October 31, 2026?Yes1,000.0011.0¢$120.00$110.00+$10

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No400.0077.8¢$100.00$311.00−$211

Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?Yes1,000.009.0¢$80.00$90.00−$10.00

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No305.9681.7¢$76.49$250.00−$174

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes264.1213.0¢$36.98$34.34+$2.64

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#159999.99+$454

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#1100.00+$78

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#474838.26+$92

PoliticsTodayVolume#496838.26+$92