Drunken-Mentat

0x588ce22fb2bf698e5a3f61447a44b3afe0ad1bf40x588c…1bf4

Joined Jul 25, 2025606 profile views

#99 Weather · Today

Total PnL: +$4.1k
Realized PnL: +$4.1k
Unrealized PnL: +$8.65
Markets traded: 729

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$1.7kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$82.775,158 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Drunken-Mentat's trading

45 open positionsAnd 1 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #99
Avg. trade size: $82.77

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?history incompleteNo2,999.9937.3¢$1,410.00$1,120.00+$290

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?history incompleteYes1,000.0083.0¢$951.00$830.00+$121

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?history incompleteNo1,000.0075.6¢$930.00$756.00+$174

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No950.0060.7¢$883.50$576.50+$307

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?history incompleteYes1,000.0077.0¢$860.00$770.00+$90

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No760.9464.4¢$715.28$490.04+$225

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?history incompleteNo1,999.9840.7¢$619.99$813.99−$194

New pandemic in 2026?No600.0193.0¢$591.01$558.01+$33

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?No644.5081.4¢$586.49$524.47+$62

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?history incompleteNo600.0084.0¢$564.00$504.00+$60

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No600.0071.4¢$556.20$428.10+$128

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?history incompleteNo600.0069.0¢$486.00$414.00+$72

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?history incompleteNo500.0173.3¢$470.01$366.67+$103

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No501.5071.0¢$466.39$355.86+$111

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?history incompleteNo500.0086.0¢$465.50$430.00+$36

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No501.0057.1¢$415.83$286.28+$130

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes4,999.9817.6¢$400.00$879.99−$480

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No5,422.1814.3¢$379.55$773.81−$394

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?history incompleteNo400.0084.0¢$368.36$336.00+$32

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No365.0241.1¢$348.22$149.87+$198

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No355.5681.6¢$327.11$290.11+$37

António Guterres out by December 31?No273.3572.0¢$240.55$196.81+$44

Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026?Yes2,090.987.9¢$167.28$165.46+$1.82

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?history incompleteYes1,000.0042.0¢$60.00$420.00−$360

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?history incompleteYes2,000.0025.0¢$58.00$500.00−$442

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?history incompleteNo100.0052.0¢$51.00$52.00−$1

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No305.9681.7¢$27.84$250.00−$222

GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?No161.0416.0¢$25.77$25.77$0

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No8.5521.6¢$8.12$1.85+$6.27

US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?No5.0155.1¢$4.56$2.76+$1.80

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#3426,467.37+$1.0k

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#2811,000.00+$210

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#5795,001.91+$891

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#6050.00+$195

WeatherTodayProfit & loss#990.00+$127