Arbguy

0x53e55bc7cb3d67ad177c023ce891ad076a9d61770x53e5…6177

Joined Jul 3, 202429,510 profile views

Total PnL: +$397k
Realized PnL: +$494k
Unrealized PnL: −$96.6k
Markets traded: 997

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$449kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$772.3827,244 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Arbguy's trading

28 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #63
Avg. trade size: $772.38

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No35,402.4382.6¢$32,216.21$29,252.06+$3.0k

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes57,485.6748.2¢$21,844.56$27,703.05−$5.9k

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes155,444.6122.6¢$21,762.25$35,076.54−$13.3k

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes47,217.8049.4¢$18,887.12$23,304.00−$4.4k

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes19,565.0883.0¢$18,195.52$16,230.78+$2.0k

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes892,945.221.3¢$17,858.90$11,938.68+$5.9k

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,616,696.760.7¢$12,933.57$10,738.12+$2.2k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?history incompleteNo10,200.0095.0¢$10,098.00$9,690.00+$408

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes155,243.2511.0¢$9,314.60$17,083.28−$7.8k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?history incompleteNo12,000.0065.0¢$8,517.24$7,800.00+$717

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?history incompleteNo10,000.0080.0¢$8,500.00$8,000.00+$500

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes26,637.9341.0¢$7,458.62$10,921.52−$3.5k

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No17,789.6534.0¢$7,293.76$6,048.46+$1.2k

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes106,708.335.1¢$6,509.21$5,463.15+$1.0k

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No12,796.3749.8¢$4,734.66$6,367.81−$1.6k

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes88,508.3931.6¢$4,248.40$27,991.34−$23.7k

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No12,728.8436.3¢$3,564.08$4,617.06−$1.1k

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes49,962.5087.0¢$2,997.75$43,469.92−$40.5k

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No25,199.9621.0¢$681.68$5,291.99−$4.6k

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes464.3283.1¢$408.60$385.85+$23

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes12,155.018.9¢$316.03$1,079.38−$763

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No381.5225.0¢$76.30$95.38−$19

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes55.9241.0¢$15.10$22.93−$7.83

Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes2,613.750.8¢$13.07$20.91−$7.84

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes12,918.0723.5¢$12.92$3,029.59−$3.0k

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No8.4562.6¢$8.44$5.29+$3.15

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes87.1226.2¢$3.48$22.82−$19

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes0.3624.8¢$0.01$0.09−$0.08

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#39963,212,644.14+$494k

OverallAll timeVolume#34663,212,644.14+$494k

OverallThis weekProfit & loss#90132,200.00+$5.1k

CultureAll timeProfit & loss#1101,389,287.31+$58.1k

CultureAll timeVolume#9221,389,287.31+$58.1k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#1846,478,508.75−$14.5k

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#720.00+$18.5k

MentionsAll timeVolume#244416,243.77−$34.6k

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#8245,994,073.79+$552k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#8945,994,073.79+$552k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#6332,200.00+$5.8k

PoliticsThis weekVolume#65832,200.00+$5.8k

TechAll timeProfit & loss#98383,040.80+$17.0k

TechAll timeVolume#411383,040.80+$17.0k