luisliu
0x4cff670cfe6ca3cfa50477c939149d1bd2017cdb0x4cff…7cdb
- Total PnL
- −$384
- Realized PnL
- −$316
- Unrealized PnL
- −$69
- Markets traded
- 386
No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.
1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$5.9kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$91.311,657 trades on Polygon
- 25 open positionsAnd 52 settled, not yet redeemed
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- — Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #410 Mentions · This month · Profit & loss
- Avg. trade size
- $91.31 1,657 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?history incompleteYes62.5132.9¢$5.75$20.54▼−$15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?history incompleteNo3.6050.0¢$2.93$1.80▲+$1.13
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?history incompleteYes4.0025.0¢$2.76$1.00▲+$1.76
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?history incompleteNo147.657.1¢$2.32$10.52▼−$8.19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?history incompleteYes12.0261.0¢$2.30$7.33▼−$5.04
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?history incompleteNo0.0155.6¢$0.01$0.00$0.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?history incompleteNo0.0181.0¢$0.01$0.00$0.00
Next Gemini Argon released by December 31, 2026?history incompleteNo0.0177.4¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?history incompleteNo0.0049.9¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?history incompleteNo0.0075.0¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of November 2026?history incompleteYes0.0166.2¢$0.00$0.01$0.00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?history incompleteYes0.0116.9¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?history incompleteYes0.0139.0¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?history incompleteYes0.0143.7¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?history incompleteYes0.0140.9¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?history incompleteYes0.0160.0¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?history incompleteYes0.0054.7¢$0.00$0.00$0.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?history incompleteYes0.0022.1¢$0.00$0.00$0.00

















