mrdy

0x4aaf3b7df0d9ce28243a29fb668500aa791ee80c0x4aaf…e80c

Joined Mar 17, 2026204 profile views

#520 Economics · Today · Volume

Total PnL: −$3.4k
Realized PnL: −$3.4k
Unrealized PnL: −$41
Markets traded: 3,861

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$141All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$6.4514,159 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about mrdy's trading

49 open positionsAnd 116 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #520
Avg. trade size: $6.45

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?No200.0071.0¢$138.00$142.00−$4

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through December 31, 2026?Yes400.0031.0¢$120.26$124.00−$3.74

US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?No200.0058.0¢$116.00$116.00$0.00

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No100.0073.0¢$82.00$73.00+$9

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October?No100.0059.0¢$63.00$59.00+$4

Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on December 31, 2026?No100.0053.0¢$52.00$53.00−$1

Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?Yes50.0095.0¢$47.50$47.50$0

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?No100.0062.0¢$44.00$62.00−$18

Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?Yes50.0083.0¢$41.50$41.50$0

Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No96.2540.0¢$41.39$38.50+$2.89

Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?No50.0077.0¢$38.50$38.50$0

Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes100.0043.4¢$33.00$43.40−$10

Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026?No50.0060.0¢$30.00$30.00$0

Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?Yes50.0059.0¢$30.00$29.50+$0.50

Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?No30.0088.0¢$27.60$26.40+$1.20

Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds dip to 4% by December 31?Yes50.0057.0¢$27.50$28.50−$1.00

Will Anthropic sell between 5% and 6% of its shares in its IPO?Yes100.0034.0¢$25.80$34.00−$8.20

Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?No27.5064.0¢$18.70$17.60+$1.10

Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?Yes48.6635.0¢$17.03$17.03$0

Will the Democrats win Alaska in the 2028 Presidential Election?No20.0078.0¢$16.40$15.60+$0.80

Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.2M in October?No20.0078.0¢$15.20$15.60−$0.40

Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No20.0074.1¢$13.68$14.82−$1.14

Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?No20.0065.0¢$12.80$13.00−$0.20

Will PARIVISION win 1win Essence III?No20.0069.0¢$12.80$13.80−$1

Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in October?No14.7385.0¢$12.52$12.52$0.00

Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?Yes20.0061.0¢$11.40$12.20−$0.80

Will China take second place in Miss Universe 2026?No19.9388.4¢$10.96$17.62−$6.66

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.37T by November 30?No20.0050.0¢$10.05$10.00+$0.05

Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?Yes20.0051.0¢$8.80$10.20−$1.40

Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November?Yes70.008.3¢$8.40$5.80+$2.60

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CryptoThis weekVolume#65999,571.60−$588

EconomicsTodayVolume#520215.77+$3.08

FinanceTodayVolume#619480.00−$24

TechTodayVolume#80120.00−$1.30