TradeDeficitArchitect

0x477f156a229f1a174fdf945c778b7362dd2b19aa0x477f…19aa

Joined Oct 29, 20201,162 profile views

Total PnL: +$225k
Realized PnL: +$206k
Unrealized PnL: +$18.7k
Markets traded: 2,298

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$20.7kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$186.1623,590 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about TradeDeficitArchitect's trading

65 open positionsAnd 31 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #32
Avg. trade size: $186.16

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?Yes19,999.9824.0¢$19,959.98$4,800.00+$15.2k

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No9,999.9978.0¢$9,199.99$7,799.98+$1.4k

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No7,022.9268.4¢$6,833.30$4,801.91+$2.0k

Trump out as President before 2027?No4,999.9685.0¢$4,869.96$4,249.97+$620

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No4,537.9548.3¢$2,813.53$2,192.70+$621

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No2,499.9991.8¢$2,462.49$2,294.99+$167

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes2,644.9370.4¢$1,719.21$1,862.50−$143

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No7,599.7223.8¢$1,139.96$1,809.17−$669

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?No1,140.0089.0¢$1,124.38$1,014.60+$110

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes9,360.7625.1¢$956.06$2,353.09−$1.4k

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,999.9643.2¢$947.98$863.98+$84

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No930.0077.0¢$915.12$716.10+$199

Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?Boy1,856.9251.2¢$909.89$950.97−$41

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,099.9662.5¢$877.77$686.97+$191

AI bubble burst in 2026?No936.7690.1¢$857.58$844.02+$14

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes866.4733.6¢$811.88$291.26+$521

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50,639.721.0¢$658.32$513.54+$145

Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes7,516.8213.3¢$601.35$1,000.31−$399

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No582.2680.4¢$555.48$467.87+$88

Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?No521.0891.3¢$510.14$475.99+$34

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No583.5385.7¢$431.23$500.09−$69

0xdec115a290ad5966fa024c1f57da9b567a7e4623880fdd637ab654c4ad857891Outcome 2958.2843.3¢—$415.06—

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No413.6881.0¢$409.96$335.08+$75

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20,162.943.1¢$282.28$619.30−$337

0x0a7a0099b4c3f241d62102956c857c0f711731008baa5460c6ee2d36cfcbdb0eOutcome 1624.0045.0¢—$280.80—

Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes5,567.154.3¢$189.28$239.72−$50

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No243.1371.0¢$187.21$172.62+$15

Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027?No162.0090.0¢$159.88$145.80+$14

Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes219.9939.0¢$153.99$85.80+$68

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14,476.051.8¢$130.28$260.57−$130

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureAll timeProfit & loss#880347,344.74+$9.8k

CultureTodayProfit & loss#5210.00+$28

MentionsAll timeProfit & loss#32915,629.37+$59.5k

MentionsAll timeVolume#97915,629.37+$59.5k

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#3726,649,770.81+$143k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#8396,649,770.81+$143k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#527503,476.06−$56.1k

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#1500.00+$1.1k

TechAll timeVolume#836223,505.89+$1.6k

TechThis monthVolume#51611,247.82−$1.1k

TechTodayProfit & loss#400.00+$188