pollution

0x45746cf20077faef288188c9e0e31228f63fab3e0x4574…ab3e

Joined Oct 23, 202472 profile views

#989 Economics · This week

Total PnL: −$2.2k
Realized PnL: −$3.5k
Unrealized PnL: +$1.3k
Markets traded: 816

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$437All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$25.413,467 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about pollution's trading

37 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #989
Avg. trade size: $25.41

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2,005.0067.5¢$1,543.85$1,353.14+$191

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No824.9153.0¢$701.18$437.20+$264

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes767.1179.2¢$673.52$607.51+$66

Will GameStop acquire eBay?No521.0086.6¢$494.95$451.27+$44

Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes578.5375.8¢$387.62$438.42−$51

Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo366.2767.0¢$352.36$245.43+$107

US strike on Cuba by December 31?No400.0064.2¢$352.00$257.00+$95

New pandemic before 2028?No400.4277.7¢$348.37$311.02+$37

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No380.0051.7¢$311.60$196.40+$115

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?history incompleteNo319.6465.2¢$308.69$208.26+$100

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No340.0064.6¢$292.40$219.60+$73

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?No332.3939.9¢$291.84$132.65+$159

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No299.9885.3¢$275.98$255.99+$20

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No326.1856.0¢$267.47$182.66+$85

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No239.9967.9¢$216.00$162.95+$53

AI bubble burst in 2026?No222.2689.8¢$208.70$199.59+$9.11

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?history incompleteNo324.2069.3¢$204.25$224.81−$21

Natural Disaster in 2026?No219.2373.5¢$203.88$161.23+$43

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes208.6584.9¢$196.13$177.04+$19

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No800.1060.1¢$168.02$481.25−$313

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?history incompleteNo139.0884.9¢$135.05$118.03+$17

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No117.6265.7¢$110.57$77.22+$33

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?No299.9636.7¢$104.98$109.98−$5.00

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No100.0066.0¢$90.00$66.00+$24

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No100.0066.0¢$85.00$66.00+$19

0xd5316bd6cced7c757fd66c3921f3a4fbb49f282135091f8a921a3c062093f8cbOutcome 2260.0032.0¢—$83.20—

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?No100.0047.0¢$83.00$47.00+$36

NATO article 5 before 2027?history incompleteNo79.9893.6¢$75.83$74.87+$0.96

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?No85.0062.0¢$61.20$52.70+$8.50

Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No50.0083.0¢$47.00$41.50+$5.50

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#9890.00+$11