Warren-Buffett

0x4478d7bd8a295691ac84f60a5ec2b47e122102a40x4478…02a4

Joined Oct 1, 202513,594 profile views

#194 Politics · Volume

Total PnL: +$119k
Realized PnL: +$132k
Unrealized PnL: −$12.3k
Markets traded: 1,559

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$125kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$221.4330,515 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Warren-Buffett's trading

56 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #30
Avg. trade size: $221.43

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No15,263.0969.9¢$11,142.06$10,662.70+$479

Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?Yes10,000.0185.8¢$8,700.01$8,578.84+$121

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?No7,798.2486.1¢$6,394.56$6,713.08−$319

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No6,000.0099.3¢$5,982.00$5,958.98+$23

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?No3,927.2695.0¢$3,903.70$3,730.89+$173

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes12,660.4652.6¢$3,671.53$6,653.37−$3.0k

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes72,902.316.2¢$3,280.60$4,485.53−$1.2k

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No3,000.0095.8¢$2,976.00$2,873.23+$103

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes5,000.0079.6¢$2,950.00$3,978.04−$1.0k

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes3,750.0155.9¢$2,550.00$2,096.81+$453

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes4,000.0142.4¢$2,480.01$1,694.41+$786

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No2,500.0093.9¢$2,387.50$2,347.50+$40

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No2,500.0081.4¢$2,275.00$2,034.99+$240

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,729.1086.9¢$2,128.70$2,372.33−$244

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,000.0070.0¢$2,010.00$2,100.00−$90

Iran coup attempt by December 31?Yes20,000.0113.1¢$2,000.00$2,620.14−$620

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No2,000.0090.0¢$1,860.00$1,800.00+$60

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?No6,999.9932.0¢$1,750.00$2,239.96−$490

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No3,456.9957.9¢$1,728.50$2,001.29−$273

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No2,000.0076.8¢$1,520.00$1,535.00−$15

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes10,042.7625.6¢$1,506.41$2,574.80−$1.1k

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes8,521.0823.5¢$1,453.89$2,002.97−$549

Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes8,808.6510.6¢$1,321.30$934.53+$387

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2,000.0057.8¢$1,168.00$1,156.00+$12

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes3,699.8158.4¢$1,034.75$2,159.69−$1.1k

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No1,136.8686.9¢$966.33$988.18−$22

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes5,000.0017.0¢$900.00$850.00+$50

US strike on Colombia by December 31?No1,000.0077.0¢$840.00$770.00+$70

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes1,343.0348.6¢$819.25$653.01+$166

Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes5,647.7910.9¢$734.21$613.99+$120

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeVolume#87829,512,202.02+$132k

OverallThis weekVolume#648474,131.93−$7.4k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#2534,906,811.49−$30.4k

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#22031,000.00+$3.8k

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#6570.00+$60

FinanceThis weekVolume#3237,999.99−$769

FinanceTodayVolume#1781,000.00−$327

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#32023,779,416.37+$155k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#19423,779,416.37+$155k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#691,227,727.02−$19.7k

PoliticsThis weekVolume#30463,061.94−$6.3k

PoliticsTodayVolume#3763,747.24−$594

TechThis weekVolume#5313,070.00−$489