Traders

Miguel262144

0x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac0x2df5…51ac

Joined Dec 13, 202353 profile views

Total PnL
+$2.0k
Realized PnL
+$3.1k
Unrealized PnL
−$1.1k
Markets traded
8,944

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$947All time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$8.1514,211 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Miguel262144's trading

  • 108 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
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Recent win rate
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No closed market yet
Current streak
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Total PnL, day by day
Best placing
#569
Tech · This week · Profit & loss
Avg. trade size
$8.15
14,211 trades on Polygon

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

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Top market outcomes

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Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

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Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

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Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes1,963.2743.4¢$117.80$852.13−$734
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No106.0067.6¢$82.68$71.66+$11
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo122.0054.4¢$46.36$66.36−$20
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes345.7948.8¢$41.49$168.80−$127
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No53.7827.0¢$40.87$14.52+$26
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes43.9974.0¢$40.34$32.56+$7.79
Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?No44.0073.0¢$33.88$32.12+$1.76
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?No33.0067.0¢$31.35$22.11+$9.24
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes131.9926.0¢$30.36$34.32−$3.96
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No33.0074.0¢$29.70$24.42+$5.28
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No44.0060.0¢$29.48$26.40+$3.08
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?No33.0067.0¢$26.07$22.11+$3.96
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No33.0064.0¢$26.07$21.12+$4.95

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL
TechThis weekProfit & loss#56933.00+$38