Miguel262144
0x2df5ad0f2612c7bcf5f87543e126e0aa351051ac0x2df5…51ac
- Total PnL
- +$2.0k
- Realized PnL
- +$3.1k
- Unrealized PnL
- −$1.1k
- Markets traded
- 8,944
No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.
1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$947All time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$8.1514,211 trades on Polygon
- 108 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- — Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #569 Tech · This week · Profit & loss
- Avg. trade size
- $8.15 14,211 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No155.0063.0¢$124.00$97.65▲+$26
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes166.0078.7¢$117.86$130.62▼−$13
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No98.9931.6¢$98.00$31.24▲+$67
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No54.9976.0¢$54.17$41.79▲+$12
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?No53.7827.0¢$40.87$14.52▲+$26
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?Yes43.9974.0¢$40.34$32.56▲+$7.79
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?No50.0067.0¢$39.50$33.50▲+$6
Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?No44.0073.0¢$33.88$32.12▲+$1.76
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?No33.0067.0¢$31.35$22.11▲+$9.24
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No44.0060.0¢$29.48$26.40▲+$3.08
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?Yes98.9936.1¢$27.72$35.75▼−$8.03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?history incompleteYes33.0065.0¢$26.07$21.45▲+$4.62
Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026?No33.0067.0¢$26.07$22.11▲+$3.96
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No33.0064.0¢$26.07$21.12▲+$4.95
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No33.0060.0¢$25.41$19.80▲+$5.61
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No32.9931.0¢$24.41$10.23▲+$14
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