0x2b67…b814
0x2b670a311561dcaf741d8155451774d3fa7fb8140x2b67…b814
- Total PnL
- +$81.0k
- Realized PnL
- +$34.7k
- Unrealized PnL
- +$46.2k
- Markets traded
- 407
+$80.7k
1D change+$1.3kTotal PnL
7D change+$24.3kTotal PnL
30D change+$42.4kTotal PnL
Biggest win+$31.1kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$149.926,791 trades on Polygon
- 58 open positionsAnd 3 settled, not yet redeemed
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- 3 days up Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #3 Finance · Today · Profit & loss
- Avg. trade size
- $149.92 6,791 trades on Polygon
Loading market figures
Loading market figures
Loading activity figures
MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes49,683.8014.9¢$22,009.92$7,410.91▲+$14.6k
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes79,720.4812.6¢$19,850.40$10,041.10▲+$9.8k
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No14,097.0524.4¢$12,475.89$3,444.39▲+$9.0k
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI26,936.759.3¢$6,598.86$2,492.75▲+$4.1k
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes13,513.3216.4¢$2,540.50$2,218.47▲+$322
Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by November 30, 2026?No1,728.1227.1¢$1,650.35$468.17▲+$1.2k
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes1,240.8449.5¢$744.50$614.45▲+$130
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026?No854.0043.5¢$563.64$371.42▲+$192
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?history incompleteNo500.0098.0¢$489.50$490.00▼−$0.50
Will Anthropic raise between $65B and $75B in its IPO?history incompleteYes906.0037.6¢$428.54$340.57▲+$88
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher?history incompleteYes527.6680.3¢$427.41$423.78▲+$3.63
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 40% or higher?history incompleteYes378.8288.0¢$377.68$333.36▲+$44
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?No870.1323.4¢$348.05$203.81▲+$144
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?history incompleteNo500.0043.4¢$215.00$217.14▼−$2.14
Will AI solve Beal's conjecture in 2026?No166.0086.0¢$147.74$142.76▲+$4.98
Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?No109.7320.8¢$106.33$22.85▲+$83
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?history incompleteYes100.1165.7¢$97.80$65.78▲+$32
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 35% or higher?history incompleteYes98.0090.0¢$97.12$88.20▲+$8.92
Will AI solve the Hadwiger-Nelson problem in 2026?Yes398.327.0¢$63.73$28.07▲+$36
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?history incompleteNo51.4775.7¢$51.32$38.97▲+$12
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes303.9026.8¢$49.83$81.57▼−$32
Will Gemini Hydrogen debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 45% or higher?history incompleteYes50.0084.6¢$48.50$42.30▲+$6.20
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by December 31, 2026?Yes336.459.0¢$37.01$30.28▲+$6.73
Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026?Yes151.1313.0¢$27.20$19.65▲+$7.56
LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL



















