crayven

0x2aacd459eaea420eb0d7b94c7b03238786c6dfad0x2aac…dfad

Joined Feb 2, 202591 profile views

#564 Politics · This week

Total PnL: +$8.1k
Realized PnL: +$6.0k
Unrealized PnL: +$2.1k
Markets traded: 879

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$1.7kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$89.532,608 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about crayven's trading

96 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #564
Avg. trade size: $89.53

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No7,570.3080.0¢$7,526.96$6,059.98+$1.5k

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No3,672.3865.4¢$2,607.39$2,399.99+$207

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14,284.838.3¢$1,614.19$1,192.16+$422

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,630.3761.5¢$1,010.83$1,002.00+$8.83

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No856.8481.7¢$846.56$700.00+$147

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No624.6980.0¢$620.31$500.00+$120

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes676.6368.0¢$493.94$460.00+$34

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes597.3152.2¢$376.31$311.92+$64

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No452.5172.9¢$366.53$330.00+$37

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No796.8237.6¢$325.90$300.00+$26

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?history incompleteYes764.3314.4¢$149.97$110.00+$40

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes186.2956.4¢$135.99$105.00+$31

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No173.1557.8¢$131.60$100.00+$32

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?history incompleteYes138.1679.6¢$124.35$110.00+$14

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?No201.5754.6¢$116.91$110.00+$6.91

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No111.1190.0¢$106.11$100.00+$6.11

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No119.1283.9¢$104.82$100.00+$4.82

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027?history incompleteYes121.2490.7¢$100.63$110.00−$9.37

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?history incompleteYes178.5756.0¢$98.21$100.00−$1.79

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?history incompleteYes125.0080.0¢$93.75$100.00−$6.25

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes315.4631.7¢$91.48$100.00−$8.52

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes208.3348.0¢$87.50$100.00−$12

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes236.0357.2¢$80.25$135.00−$55

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes391.0528.1¢$62.57$110.00−$47

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?No60.2683.0¢$57.86$50.00+$7.86

Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes61.5748.7¢$38.79$30.00+$8.79

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes200.0550.5¢$34.01$101.00−$67

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes47.1865.7¢$28.31$31.00−$2.69

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No60.3441.4¢$26.55$25.00+$1.55

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?history incompleteYes327.266.9¢$26.27$22.72+$3.55

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#9662,920.10+$234

EconomicsThis weekVolume#8801,917.09−$15

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#5646,470.53+$732