TheBigMuscle

0x270afb53118b0f5a9d706f4d90b82bb877d27b780x270a…7b78

Joined Aug 15, 2024298 profile views

Total PnL: +$2.2k
Realized PnL: +$1.5k
Unrealized PnL: +$651
Markets traded: 711

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$2.7kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$50.583,707 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about TheBigMuscle's trading

34 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #306
Avg. trade size: $50.58

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes261,279.170.3¢$783.84$769.09+$15

Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes775.6420.6¢$666.75$159.76+$507

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes760.0029.0¢$311.60$220.40+$91

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?No291.9087.1¢$265.63$254.12+$12

Will there be at least 4500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes286.0088.0¢$253.04$251.68+$1.36

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes800.0033.0¢$248.00$264.00−$16

Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes1,513.6031.3¢$227.04$473.24−$246

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes130.0075.0¢$129.87$97.50+$32

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?No124.0198.4¢$121.53$122.03−$0.50

Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No98.7899.0¢$98.29$97.79+$0.49

Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes303.7524.0¢$60.75$72.88−$12

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2028?No170.7128.3¢$56.33$48.29+$8.04

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No40.0098.5¢$39.60$39.40+$0.20

Meituan announces a training pause by October 31?No40.0090.0¢$39.16$36.00+$3.16

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?No40.0095.0¢$38.00$38.00$0

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No102.5039.0¢$28.70$39.98−$11

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?Yes118.6714.4¢$20.17$17.12+$3.05

Moonshot announces a training pause by October 31?No20.0089.0¢$19.60$17.80+$1.80

Z.ai announces a training pause by October 31?No20.0090.0¢$19.60$18.00+$1.60

Baidu announces a training pause by October 31?No20.0089.0¢$19.60$17.80+$1.80

DeepSeek announces a training pause by October 31?No20.0089.0¢$19.58$17.80+$1.78

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes210.0038.4¢$18.48$80.60−$62

Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,320.700.9¢$15.96$46.48−$31

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No92.2927.0¢$15.69$24.92−$9.23

ByteDance announces a training pause by October 31?No15.0089.0¢$14.70$13.35+$1.35

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes200.007.5¢$12.60$15.00−$2.40

Will the Ohio Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Yes78.304.2¢$11.67$3.28+$8.38

Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes231.868.1¢$11.59$18.73−$7.13

Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?No13.1768.0¢$11.06$8.96+$2.11

Will SpearShot Win the ADC Race 2026?Yes100.0012.0¢$7.50$12.00−$4.50

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

WeatherThis monthProfit & loss#475987.00+$338

WeatherThis weekProfit & loss#3060.00+$200

WeatherTodayProfit & loss#9390.00+$3.73

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