Outsmarter

0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b0x1b60…a55b

Joined Dec 25, 20253,024 profile views

Total PnL: +$78.3k
Realized PnL: +$73.8k
Unrealized PnL: +$4.5k
Markets traded: 187

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$47.4kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$270.541,914 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Outsmarter's trading

54 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #132
Avg. trade size: $270.54

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Trump out as President before 2027?No10,000.0092.0¢$9,600.00$9,200.00+$400

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No7,823.8890.6¢$7,675.22$7,086.31+$589

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No6,800.0190.9¢$6,537.73$6,184.00+$354

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No5,541.2289.0¢$5,314.03$4,928.97+$385

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No5,000.0078.0¢$4,800.00$3,900.00+$900

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No5,299.9979.8¢$4,769.99$4,228.40+$542

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No4,021.1090.2¢$3,779.84$3,627.97+$152

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No3,495.5289.2¢$3,215.88$3,118.43+$97

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No3,265.7090.7¢$3,174.48$2,962.99+$211

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No4,000.0076.7¢$3,080.00$3,068.96+$11

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No3,581.6863.0¢$3,044.43$2,256.46+$788

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes3,000.0092.0¢$2,994.00$2,760.00+$234

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes3,001.5680.6¢$2,791.45$2,419.99+$371

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No2,974.3279.8¢$2,766.12$2,374.93+$391

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,000.0094.0¢$2,580.00$2,820.00−$240

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes3,023.8566.8¢$2,056.21$2,020.00+$36

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes2,915.6468.6¢$1,720.23$1,999.99−$280

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No2,000.0087.0¢$1,720.00$1,740.00−$20

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes58,790.642.4¢$1,587.35$1,431.58+$156

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No1,500.0085.5¢$1,465.50$1,281.91+$184

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No1,575.8289.7¢$1,431.17$1,413.58+$18

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3,049.8450.4¢$1,430.37$1,536.99−$107

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No1,434.8279.0¢$1,427.66$1,133.12+$295

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,742.4586.1¢$1,359.11$1,500.00−$141

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No1,353.5379.6¢$1,272.32$1,076.82+$195

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No1,100.0094.0¢$1,086.09$1,034.00+$52

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No1,000.0093.0¢$999.00$930.00+$69

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes1,059.1487.1¢$985.00$923.00+$62

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No1,000.0092.9¢$970.46$929.09+$41

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,049.1121.2¢$967.86$1,282.04−$314

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

FinanceThis monthProfit & loss#6304,123.46+$331

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#658718,629.85+$74.6k

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#60243,993.41+$2.2k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#473703.90+$884

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#1320.00+$613