Outsmarter

0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b0x1b60…a55b

Joined Dec 25, 20253,567 profile views

Total PnL: +$89.1k
Realized PnL: +$84.4k
Unrealized PnL: +$4.7k
Markets traded: 211

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$47.4kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$276.772,158 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about Outsmarter's trading

55 open positionsAnd 2 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #269
Avg. trade size: $276.77

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Trump out as President before 2027?No10,000.0092.0¢$9,740.00$9,200.00+$540

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No7,823.8890.6¢$7,683.05$7,086.31+$597

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No6,299.9981.9¢$6,110.99$5,158.40+$1.0k

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No5,541.2289.0¢$5,458.10$4,928.97+$529

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No4,021.1090.2¢$3,946.18$3,627.97+$318

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No4,000.0076.7¢$3,520.00$3,068.96+$451

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?No3,706.7490.5¢$3,447.27$3,355.05+$92

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No3,495.5289.2¢$3,412.64$3,118.43+$294

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No3,581.6863.0¢$3,223.51$2,256.46+$1.0k

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No3,172.9393.6¢$3,070.63$2,968.71+$102

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No2,974.3279.8¢$2,766.12$2,374.93+$391

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No1,575.8289.7¢$1,497.03$1,413.58+$83

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No1,545.3993.2¢$1,482.01$1,439.90+$42

Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No1,353.5379.6¢$1,304.80$1,076.82+$228

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?No1,300.0078.0¢$1,027.00$1,013.94+$13

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes1,059.1487.1¢$1,011.48$923.00+$88

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No1,000.0093.0¢$979.00$930.00+$49

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No1,000.0092.9¢$963.30$929.09+$34

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1,000.0090.0¢$931.00$900.00+$31

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,000.0088.0¢$920.00$880.00+$40

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?No1,788.0464.3¢$911.90$1,149.99−$238

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes2,362.9658.2¢$748.06$1,374.25−$626

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6,049.1121.2¢$623.06$1,282.04−$659

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No594.7189.0¢$575.09$529.27+$46

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No500.0092.0¢$465.00$460.00+$5.00

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?No423.0094.0¢$406.93$397.62+$9.31

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No366.7894.9¢$353.21$348.03+$5.18

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No300.0080.0¢$283.50$240.00+$44

Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?No245.1672.0¢$235.36$176.61+$59

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No135.0186.9¢$130.02$117.37+$13

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#2690.00+$1.4k

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#617903,402.29+$86.6k

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#530176,618.81+$13.9k

PoliticsThis weekProfit & loss#27713,250.14+$2.3k