arbdiscovery

0x14522999f234b77b148185d17a5e2b4f2756449c0x1452…449c

Joined May 23, 20263 profile views

#992 Culture · This week

Total PnL: +$1.2k
Realized PnL: −$468
Unrealized PnL: +$1.6k
Markets traded: 137

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$874All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$35.98338 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about arbdiscovery's trading

34 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #992
Avg. trade size: $35.98

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?No1,499.4392.5¢$1,494.93$1,386.97+$108

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,384.0816.8¢$1,127.67$401.42+$726

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No684.0053.9¢$632.48$368.62+$264

Discord IPO before 2027?No599.9540.0¢$583.76$240.08+$344

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No268.0089.5¢$259.42$239.77+$20

Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No282.0035.8¢$243.65$100.95+$143

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes154.0054.8¢$153.54$84.40+$69

Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?No118.6387.9¢$116.26$104.30+$12

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No120.0078.0¢$113.40$93.60+$20

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams before 2027?No111.1888.4¢$107.62$98.24+$9.38

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?No98.0081.8¢$95.94$80.21+$16

Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No76.0080.7¢$75.16$61.36+$14

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?No62.6680.2¢$60.85$50.26+$11

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes719.767.8¢$25.91$56.31−$30

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes20.0038.5¢$19.58$7.70+$12

Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?No20.0057.5¢$18.20$11.50+$6.70

Will Misti Cordell be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No20.0087.4¢$15.60$17.48−$1.88

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes20.9941.6¢$13.30$8.74+$4.56

Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes223.0019.8¢$8.92$44.18−$35

Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No5.0088.0¢$4.96$4.40+$0.55

Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No5.0077.0¢$4.75$3.85+$0.90

Will Donald Trump visit Colorado in 2026?No5.0052.0¢$4.68$2.60+$2.08

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,440.120.7¢$2.44$17.22−$15

Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes10.0024.0¢$2.40$2.40$0

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes112.004.0¢$1.79$4.48−$2.69

Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Yes147.724.1¢$1.18$6.00−$4.82

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?No16.0015.4¢$0.75$2.46−$1.71

Databricks IPO before 2027?No0.6475.0¢$0.61$0.48+$0.13

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes32.0025.0¢$0.58$8.00−$7.42

Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027?Yes29.0017.0¢$0.35$4.93−$4.58

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis weekProfit & loss#9920.00+$48