frozenriver

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe0x1437…acfe

Joined Jan 5, 20255,030 profile views

Total PnL: +$225k
Realized PnL: +$225k
Unrealized PnL: +$408
Markets traded: 20,044

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$84.2kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$2.53227,589 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about frozenriver's trading

43 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #105
Avg. trade size: $2.53

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No2,500.0083.2¢$2,150.00$2,080.00+$70

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?No640.0080.0¢$450.56$511.80−$61

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No249.7372.0¢$187.30$179.81+$7.49

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes2,000.0012.0¢$180.00$240.00−$60

US strike on Cuba by December 31?No200.0035.5¢$172.00$71.00+$101

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?No409.9552.0¢$133.89$213.17−$79

US strike on Mexico by December 31?No140.0059.5¢$127.40$83.30+$44

Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No130.8921.0¢$120.42$27.42+$93

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No220.0025.2¢$107.80$55.40+$52

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?No130.0066.0¢$91.52$85.80+$5.72

Natural Disaster in 2026?No100.0074.0¢$91.00$74.00+$17

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Yes1,000.009.0¢$80.00$90.00−$10

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No80.0071.5¢$75.92$57.20+$19

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?history incompleteNo201.3527.0¢$60.41$54.35+$6.05

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No42.3370.4¢$35.13$29.80+$5.33

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No302.2313.7¢$26.08$41.51−$15

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No26.2153.1¢$25.16$13.93+$11

Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?No24.2871.2¢$24.12$17.30+$6.82

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes1,000.006.0¢$24.00$60.00−$36

Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Yes51.1520.9¢$20.46$10.71+$9.75

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Yes200.0011.0¢$17.69$22.00−$4.31

Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes18.4021.0¢$15.53$3.86+$12

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI300.004.0¢$12.90$12.00+$0.90

Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7AM EThistory incompleteDown20.0046.0¢—$9.20—

Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Yes452.881.6¢$8.60$7.46+$1.15

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No10.0074.0¢$8.60$7.40+$1.20

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No50.0218.1¢$8.50$9.04−$0.54

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No10.0065.0¢$8.20$6.50+$1.70

Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?Yes209.001.0¢$7.35$2.09+$5.26

Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes77.1934.0¢$6.17$26.28−$20

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#89615,116,980.66+$225k

CryptoAll timeProfit & loss#10513,820,393.72+$232k

CryptoAll timeVolume#35613,820,393.72+$232k

CultureThis monthProfit & loss#535999.99+$247

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#18960,699.93+$4.8k

EconomicsThis monthVolume#67060,699.93+$4.8k

FinanceAll timeVolume#800465,790.07−$2.8k

TechTodayProfit & loss#8390.00+$1.57