cat6767
0x124a73f09f38910fe1f7638f22a0f223c37237410x124a…3741
- Total PnL
- +$8.1k
- Realized PnL
- +$10.6k
- Unrealized PnL
- −$2.6k
- Markets traded
- 396
No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.
1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$3.1kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$81.625,562 trades on Polygon
- 30 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
- Recent win rate
- — No closed market yet
- Current streak
- — Total PnL, day by day
- Best placing
- #97 Tech · This month · Volume
- Avg. trade size
- $81.62 5,562 trades on Polygon
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MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No3,470.0359.8¢$763.41$2,075.81▼−$1.3k
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes1,000.0084.0¢$710.00$840.00▼−$130
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes1,413.4348.5¢$452.30$686.07▼−$234
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes524.5085.6¢$451.07$448.96▲+$2.11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?Yes405.9383.0¢$403.49$336.89▲+$67
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes299.9983.0¢$231.56$248.99▼−$17
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Yes996.7514.8¢$209.32$147.70▲+$62
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?No188.7782.2¢$186.75$155.19▲+$32
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes603.1427.6¢$180.94$166.71▲+$14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes142.8031.8¢$119.50$45.44▲+$74
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes6,561.5517.3¢$98.42$1,137.38▼−$1.0k
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?No1,643.786.1¢$93.70$99.82▼−$6.13
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No975.4412.2¢$78.04$118.82▼−$41
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on September 30, 2026?Yes283.864.2¢$63.02$11.88▲+$51
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes507.439.6¢$60.89$48.87▲+$12
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?Yes552.009.9¢$60.72$54.55▲+$6.17
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No59.2370.0¢$47.98$41.46▲+$6.52
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes3,975.3212.7¢$29.27$504.64▼−$475
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?No339.139.0¢$20.35$30.52▼−$10
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes4,005.409.8¢$20.03$393.70▼−$374
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution?OpenAI25.0039.8¢$19.25$9.95▲+$9.30
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Yes68.651.2¢$9.99$0.82▲+$9.16
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?No19.9937.0¢$4.20$7.40▼−$3.20
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes2,000.003.1¢$2.04$62.00▼−$60


















