GollumGekko

0x08458f7e9d2858027de579e4c3ca305475496b6f0x0845…6b6f

Joined Dec 27, 202429,219 profile views

Total PnL: +$275k
Realized PnL: +$279k
Unrealized PnL: −$3.3k
Markets traded: 3,465

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$26.8kAll time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$178.06118,207 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about GollumGekko's trading

346 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #75
Avg. trade size: $178.06

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No21,103.9392.2¢$19,837.70$19,449.93+$388

US recession by end of 2026?No12,911.3887.1¢$11,749.36$11,246.70+$503

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No16,875.9969.8¢$11,475.67$11,782.59−$307

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No10,026.0290.7¢$9,123.68$9,089.19+$34

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes11,103.0274.8¢$8,993.45$8,308.98+$684

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes9,864.2279.8¢$7,694.09$7,873.17−$179

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes6,058.0283.1¢$5,331.06$5,032.26+$299

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No5,054.9097.2¢$4,968.96$4,911.74+$57

Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes4,808.0292.4¢$4,591.66$4,444.99+$147

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No5,603.4266.1¢$4,538.77$3,703.47+$835

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes4,617.2895.7¢$4,451.06$4,419.05+$32

No one announced as next James Bond?No5,992.7976.8¢$4,248.89$4,605.21−$356

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No4,359.8744.1¢$4,211.63$1,923.05+$2.3k

Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No3,961.7917.1¢$3,922.18$679.14+$3.2k

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes5,255.2978.4¢$3,836.36$4,122.68−$286

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No4,665.1987.8¢$3,806.80$4,094.21−$287

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No4,000.0088.4¢$3,776.00$3,535.00+$241

Will GameStop acquire eBay?No3,287.4592.5¢$3,090.20$3,039.41+$51

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No3,787.3177.6¢$2,954.10$2,939.38+$15

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,765.6050.9¢$2,923.16$2,936.62−$13

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No4,070.5968.0¢$2,849.41$2,769.22+$80

Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?No2,893.0093.8¢$2,719.42$2,712.71+$6.71

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No4,203.3449.5¢$2,564.03$2,079.61+$484

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3,416.4973.9¢$2,547.31$2,524.03+$23

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No2,542.2681.9¢$2,539.72$2,081.26+$458

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes3,508.0669.0¢$2,315.32$2,420.97−$106

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No2,626.1884.4¢$2,284.78$2,215.25+$70

US strike on Cuba by December 31?No2,633.3555.9¢$2,264.68$1,472.65+$792

Cuban regime falls in 2026?No2,508.7788.0¢$2,232.81$2,207.72+$25

Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes2,281.5490.8¢$2,146.93$2,071.42+$76

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

OverallAll timeProfit & loss#71231,241,743.55+$279k

OverallAll timeVolume#83131,241,743.55+$279k

OverallThis monthVolume#7621,678,622.53+$9.1k

CultureAll timeVolume#6701,922,405.38+$7.8k

CultureThis monthVolume#82020,317.53−$78

EconomicsAll timeProfit & loss#2582,416,744.62+$30.7k

EconomicsAll timeVolume#5002,416,744.62+$30.7k

EconomicsThis monthProfit & loss#151273,343.20+$6.4k

EconomicsThis monthVolume#204273,343.20+$6.4k

EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#10335,319.18+$873

EconomicsThis weekVolume#12135,319.18+$873

EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#1200.00+$81

FinanceAll timeProfit & loss#534980,184.06+$9.9k

FinanceAll timeVolume#343980,184.06+$9.9k

FinanceThis monthVolume#134100,188.66−$4.5k

FinanceThis weekProfit & loss#11410,922.54+$614

FinanceThis weekVolume#24610,922.54+$614

MentionsThis monthProfit & loss#1521,342.43+$121

MentionsThis monthVolume#4211,342.43+$121

PoliticsAll timeProfit & loss#22122,395,259.33+$223k

PoliticsAll timeVolume#20822,395,259.33+$223k

PoliticsThis monthProfit & loss#1961,176,345.53+$8.0k

PoliticsThis monthVolume#751,176,345.53+$8.0k

PoliticsThis weekVolume#141168,943.64−$2.2k

PoliticsTodayProfit & loss#6213,024.00+$82

PoliticsTodayVolume#2893,024.00+$82

TechAll timeVolume#275542,177.66+$1.2k

TechThis monthVolume#20940,600.02−$26

TechThis weekVolume#2957,411.56−$35