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PavtheGreat

0x048a9d673a40171a1cf44ef518893d35fdf09be40x048a…9be4

Joined May 14, 20263,398 profile views

#112 Finance · Today
Total PnL
+$3.27
Realized PnL
−$3.6k
Unrealized PnL
+$3.6k
Markets traded
378

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL
7D change—Total PnL
30D change—Total PnL
Biggest win+$1.1kAll time, per Polymarket
Biggest loss
Avg. trade size$93.551,556 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about PavtheGreat's trading

  • 104 open positionsHeld now, from our record on Polygon
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Recent win rate
—
No closed market yet
Current streak
—
Total PnL, day by day
Best placing
#112
Finance · Today · Profit & loss
Avg. trade size
$93.55
1,556 trades on Polygon

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

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Top market outcomes

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Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

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Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

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Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No1,724.9485.2¢$1,719.76$1,470.45+$249
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,395.0074.4¢$1,143.90$1,037.41+$106
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No1,200.0084.0¢$1,104.00$1,008.00+$96
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Yes1,055.0090.0¢$1,049.73$949.50+$100
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No783.0082.2¢$777.00$643.35+$134
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No732.0089.3¢$725.41$653.90+$72
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be at least 12 hours?No717.0072.2¢$716.28$517.74+$199
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?history incompleteNo761.9986.6¢$716.27$659.93+$56
Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 28-October 4?history incompleteNo752.0087.6¢$713.65$658.76+$55
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No1,000.0082.1¢$690.00$821.39−$131
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No800.0022.0¢$648.00$176.00+$472
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes650.0092.0¢$645.45$598.00+$47
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?No721.0677.8¢$641.74$560.85+$81
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No644.9882.0¢$634.02$528.88+$105
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No915.0081.0¢$630.88$740.80−$110
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?history incompleteYes797.3675.0¢$629.91$598.02+$32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No540.0068.0¢$539.46$367.20+$172
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No655.0079.0¢$530.82$517.45+$13
Will China become the #2 global art market in 2026?No591.9774.8¢$526.85$443.03+$84
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?Yes515.0073.0¢$505.22$375.95+$129
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes540.0060.0¢$502.20$324.00+$178
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes500.0079.7¢$497.00$398.54+$98
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes500.0080.0¢$486.50$400.00+$87
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes496.4724.0¢$474.62$119.15+$355
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?No465.0081.0¢$464.07$376.65+$87
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No558.6284.9¢$463.65$474.43−$11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No925.0054.0¢$453.25$499.50−$46
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No574.1965.4¢$442.13$375.77+$66
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No445.0090.0¢$440.55$400.50+$40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No580.0069.0¢$423.40$400.20+$23

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL
CultureThis weekProfit & loss#323500.00+$201
EconomicsThis weekProfit & loss#7740.00+$37
EconomicsTodayProfit & loss#5630.00+$8
FinanceTodayProfit & loss#1120.00+$77
TechThis monthProfit & loss#17914,978.20+$822
TechThis monthVolume#45714,978.20+$822
TechThis weekProfit & loss#2905,776.36+$130
TechThis weekVolume#3535,776.36+$130