verybadtrader

0x02e564adb4c1647520fa398f1bc432e2d2dd98aa0x02e5…98aa

Joined Nov 5, 202647 profile views

Total PnL: −$4.3k
Realized PnL: −$2.3k
Unrealized PnL: −$2.0k
Markets traded: 906

PnL Performance

No current daily PnL history for this trader. Polymarket's daily history is collected for the top 200 of the overall leaderboards, and not shown once it is more than two days old.

1D change—Total PnL

7D change—Total PnL

30D change—Total PnL

Biggest win+$21All time, per Polymarket

Biggest loss

Avg. trade size$17.382,430 trades on Polygon

Trader intelligence

Key facts about verybadtrader's trading

886 open positionsAnd 4 settled, not yet redeemed

Recent win rate: —
Current streak: —
Best placing: #13
Avg. trade size: $17.38

Market exposure & outcomes

The markets this trader traded, by category, and how the closed ones ended

Top market outcomes

Recent large trades

Taker trades of $1,000 or more in the last 30 days, latest first

View all

Activity timeline

Newest first, times in UTC

Positions

MarketOutcomeSharesAvg. priceValueCostPnL

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes204.0074.0¢$159.12$150.96+$8.16

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Yes202.0073.0¢$141.40$147.46−$6.06

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes204.0067.0¢$128.52$136.68−$8.16

Newsom's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?No146.4277.0¢$103.96$112.74−$8.79

Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 14?No188.2748.1¢$97.90$90.58+$7.32

Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?No110.0084.0¢$95.70$92.40+$3.30

Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 400m?No138.3362.0¢$88.53$85.78+$2.75

Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No149.8973.7¢$86.94$110.52−$24

Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?No191.7250.0¢$86.59$95.77−$9.18

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?Yes204.0041.0¢$85.68$83.64+$2.04

Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?No104.1082.0¢$85.45$85.36+$0.09

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T?No110.0081.5¢$85.03$89.60−$4.56

Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?No96.1686.0¢$83.66$82.69+$0.96

Newsom flips Vance for 2028 president by March 31?Yes220.0061.0¢$83.60$134.20−$51

Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?No101.0085.6¢$82.11$86.46−$4.34

Will Trump issue 15-19 vetoes by December 31, 2027?No90.0076.0¢$81.00$68.40+$13

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028?Yes135.8652.8¢$80.16$71.67+$8.49

Will "The Cat in the Hat" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?No110.0077.5¢$78.23$85.25−$7.02

Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2027?No110.0070.0¢$78.10$77.00+$1.10

Israel military action against Lebanon on November 26?No165.0040.7¢$77.55$67.10+$10

Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in October?Yes220.0047.5¢$74.80$104.50−$30

Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes102.0070.0¢$73.44$71.40+$2.04

Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Israel?No105.0071.7¢$72.45$75.25−$2.80

Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No101.0077.0¢$71.61$77.77−$6.16

Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?Yes220.0035.3¢$70.84$77.55−$6.71

Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?Yes95.2679.3¢$69.54$75.51−$5.97

Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?No110.0065.5¢$69.30$72.05−$2.75

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes105.0061.9¢$68.25$65.04+$3.21

Will "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No99.0067.0¢$66.33$66.33$0

Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes92.9870.3¢$66.01$65.33+$0.68

Leaderboards

LeaderboardPeriodRanked byRankShares tradedPnL

CultureThis weekVolume#5109,854.92−$329

CultureTodayProfit & loss#8071,149.42+$3.02

CultureTodayVolume#811,149.42+$3.02

EconomicsThis weekVolume#4276,056.67−$288

EconomicsTodayVolume#1625,189.01−$207

FinanceThis monthVolume#55926,137.39−$2.3k

FinanceThis weekVolume#17426,137.39−$2.3k

FinanceTodayVolume#1131,125.99−$13

MentionsThis monthVolume#812337.74−$3.91

MentionsThis weekProfit & loss#654337.74−$3.91

MentionsThis weekVolume#193337.74−$3.91

MentionsTodayProfit & loss#720.00+$0.02

MentionsTodayVolume#13337.74−$4.01

PoliticsTodayVolume#2852,104.47−$56

TechThis monthVolume#5959,033.49−$279

TechThis weekVolume#1639,033.49−$279

TechTodayVolume#247,805.62−$231

WeatherThis weekVolume#6286,867.42−$109

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