Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027? · 4.6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
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- Resolved
This outcome shares its settlement rules with the other outcomes of How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?, which is where they are described in full.